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(Program Title) Predictive Analysis Supplement (PAS) Contract #

(Program Title) Predictive Analysis Supplement (PAS) Contract # CPR/IPMR Reporting Month/Period: MMM DD, YYYY. Presented By: Analyst Office Name/CMO MMM DD, YYYY.

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(Program Title) Predictive Analysis Supplement (PAS) Contract #

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  1. (Program Title) Predictive Analysis Supplement (PAS) Contract # CPR/IPMR Reporting Month/Period: MMM DD, YYYY Presented By: Analyst Office Name/CMO MMM DD, YYYY THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS CONTRACTOR INFORMATION WHICH MAY BE PROPRIETARY AND PROTECTED BY THE TRADE SECRETS ACT; DO NOT RELEASE WITHOUT REVIEW AND REDACTION. THIS INCLUDES FREEDOM OF INFORMATION ACT REQUESTS, PRESS INQUIRIES OR RESPONSES TO ANY OTHER REQUESTS OUTSIDE THE US GOVERNMENT. FAILURE TO ADHERE TO THESE REQUIREMENTS MAY RESULT IN CRIMINAL OR CIVIL SANCTIONS.

  2. PAS Part A Mandatory for all contracts with EVM, with the exception of contracts with multiple delivery orders (DO)/contract line item numbers (CLIN) each with separate EVM reporting requirements. For these types of contracts, a separate Part A is required for each DO/CLIN. Delete This Slide in Final PAS Submission

  3. Basic Contract Information

  4. Performance Data Summary Summary Analysis Contract Summary Data • Support Bullet on BEI (Cause/Schedule Drivers) • Support Bullet on Variances (Cause/Drivers) • Support Bullet on Trending Relationships • Support Bullet on EAC Realism • OTB/OTS Impact • (More detailed information in notes section) Contract Variance Trends BEI Insert screenshot of Cumulative Variance Trends (KTR VAC, CV, SV, and MR) chart from the SPA Workbook Insert screenshot of BEI Chart from slide 9 of PAS

  5. Business System Status EVMS is (approved/disapproved/not evaluated) at the corporate level by the DCMA DACO and is considered (Green, Yellow, Red) • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • EVM CARs, status, and timeliness • An OTB/OTS occurred in the past (MMM DD, YYYY)

  6. 3-Month Milestone Trend • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Support Bullet

  7. EOP date Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 17,936 16,672 17,736 15,304 23,056 14,598 2/26/2012 23,659 25,321 19,685 34,495 18,047 3/25/2012 26,267 20,958 34,897 18,309 4/29/2012 21,994 31,807 16,378 5/27/2012 33,315 15,668 6/24/2012 16,022 7/29/2012 8/26/2012 Min ? 16,580 15,508 14,644 14,255 21,583 14,598 Max? 17,936 23,659 26,267 21,994 34,897 18,309 % change 8% 53% 79% 54% 62% 25% 5% 14% 27% 34% 43% 47% 6 monavrg Baseline Quality Baseline Revisions Chart • CBB $ • Original Contract Cost $ • Contract Modifications % • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Baseline Indicator – RED/GREEN • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Baseline Revisions – RED/GREEN • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Support Bullet

  8. PAS Part B Mandatory for all contracts with EVM. For contracts with multiple DOs/CLINS with separate EVM reporting requirements, it is the discretion of the Program Integrator (PI) based on resources and risk prioritization to determine if Part B is required.     Delete This Slide in Final PAS Submission

  9. Synopsis / Watch Items • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Support Bullet

  10. Performance Execution to Date – Cost Analysis At Program Level CVcum = $ (%) CPIcum = XX KTR VAC = XX • Contract level cost favorable/unfavorable and getting better/getting worse At WBS level • The Cost Drivers are XX, XX, and XX. These drivers represent XX or X% of the unfavorable cumulative CV on the contract • CAP progress to plan

  11. Performance Execution to Date – Schedule Analysis At Program Level SVcum = $ (%) SPIcum = XX • Contract level schedule favorable/unfavorable and getting better/getting worse At WBS level • The Schedule Drivers are XX, XX, and XX. These drivers represent XX or X% of the unfavorable cumulative SV on the contract. • Schedule Drivers impact on BEI/Hit Task % • CAP progress to plan

  12. Performance Execution to Date – Baseline Execution Index Baseline Execution Index Chart BEI: XXX • BEI Support Bullet • Hit Task % Support Bullet • Are missed tasks on the Critical Path?

  13. Contractor’s Critical Path • Support Bullet

  14. DCMA Independent Critical Path DCMA Critical Path Using the Constraint Method • Support Bullet (Agree w/KTR Critical Path or Not) • Support Bullet (Reference Back-Up Slides, if Needed) • Support Bullet on critical/near critical items that could become part of the critical path • CAR and CAP Status (if applicable)

  15. Projected Effort Remaining TAB $XXXX CBB $XXXX PMB $XXXX EAC • EACDCMA $XXXX • EACKTR $XXXX • EACPMO $XXXX EACDCMA Considerations • Support Bullet on Method • Support Bullet on EACPMO, EACKTR, and EACDCMA differences EAC Realism • EACKTR Realism • EACDCMA Realism • EACPMO Realism Budgeted Cost of Work Remaining • BCWR $XXXX • %Complete and MR Usage

  16. Contract Performance Summary TAB $XXXX CBB $XXXX %Complete • DCMA projected CV at completion of XX resulting in EACDCMA of $XXXX • Estimated completion date of YYY primarily due to XXX

  17. PAS Part C Mandatory for all non-EVM contracts. Delete This Slide in Final PAS Submission

  18. (Program Title) Predictive Analysis Supplement (PAS) Contract # Presented By: Analyst Office Name/CMO MMM DD, YYYY THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS CONTRACTOR INFORMATION WHICH MAY BE PROPRIETARY AND PROTECTED BY THE TRADE SECRETS ACT; DO NOT RELEASE WITHOUT REVIEW AND REDACTION. THIS INCLUDES FREEDOM OF INFORMATION ACT REQUESTS, PRESS INQUIRIES OR RESPONSES TO ANY OTHER REQUESTS OUTSIDE THE US GOVERNMENT. FAILURE TO ADHERE TO THESE REQUIREMENTS MAY RESULT IN CRIMINAL OR CIVIL SANCTIONS.

  19. Basic Contract Information

  20. 3-Month Deliverable Trend • Support Bullet • Support Bullet • Support Bullet

  21. Performance Execution to Date – Baseline Execution Index Baseline Execution Index Chart BEI: XXX Required Only If IMS Is Required • BEI Support Bullet • Hit Task % Support Bullet • Are missed tasks on the Critical Path?

  22. Contractor’s Critical Path • Support Bullet Required Only If IMS Is Required

  23. DCMA Independent Critical Path DCMA Critical Path Using the Constraint Method Required Only If IMS Is Required • Support Bullet (Agree w/KTR Critical Path or Not) • Support Bullet (Reference Back-Up Slides, if Needed) • Support Bullet on critical/near critical items that could become part of the critical path • CAR and CAP Status (if applicable)

  24. BACK UP OPTIONAL SUPPORTING SLIDES AS NECESSARY

  25. Significant Trends and Information REMOVE THIS SLIDE IF NOT APPLICABLE This chart would highlight any other significant information and trending that is not included in the PAS required slides Provide visual charts highlighting the data trend Provide support bullet conclusions predicting if these trends will continue and the associated impact

  26. DCMA Schedule Health Metrics • Support Bullet REMOVE THIS SLIDE IF NOT APPLICABLE

  27. IMS Analysis of Schedule Margin • Incorrect representation of critical path • Schedule margin, correctly implemented, should represent a margin of time after completion of all required work towards achieving an end product or final program milestone • Schedule margin should not be driving critical path, have discrete successors, or show up on the critical path • REMOVE THIS SLIDE IF NOT APPLICABLE

  28. IMS Analysis of Incorrect Progress • Incorrectly representing progress status, misleading, incorrect critical path calculations • All tasks not progressed up to “time now” • Incorrect calculations of remaining duration • Not complying with terms and conditions of requirement on contract • REMOVE THIS SLIDE IF NOT APPLICABLE

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