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Bo Redeborn EUROCONTROL. Planning, implementing and monitoring the ATM system's performance: European experience and SESAR developments. SESAR approach. Current European work. Performance Planning. SESAR targets. Conclusions. Next Steps. 1997. 2000. 2006. 2008. PRC. ATM2000+.
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Bo Redeborn EUROCONTROL Planning, implementing and monitoring the ATM system's performance: European experience and SESAR developments
SESAR approach Current European work Performance Planning SESAR targets Conclusions Next Steps
1997 2000 2006 2008 PRC ATM2000+ SESAR MP Independent review Annual reports Policy advice Target setting ECIP Qualitative performance objectives Road map of change through time NOP 10 years of ATM Performance Planningin Europe European Convergence & Implementation Plan Network Operations Plan
Network Operations Plan Performance planning cycle& instruments Strategic Objectives Medium-term Impl. Objectives Next season’s needs European ATM Master Plan Local Plans (42 States) European Plan User needs Monitoring & Reporting Actual Operations SESAR: performance drive more explicit, plan to cover full life cycle, industry commitment, supported by regulation
Meeting the Capacity Target Target set in 2001 for 2006: 1’/flight en-route ATFM summer delay 2001: 3’/flight 2006: 1.04’/flight
European Planning Activities in ICAO perspective • European efforts • Used in EANPG deliberations • Presented at ALLPIRG meetings • ECIP approach acknowledged by ANC/11 • Recommendation 4/2 — Investigation of performance-driven planning and implementation methods • That States study the approach to planning and implementation commonly adopted by European States, with a view to the possible application of its elements in their respective regions • Input to, and use of, ATMCP and ATMRPP panel work
SESAR approach Current European work Performance Planning SESAR targets Conclusions Next Steps
ATM Master Plan Work Programme for 2008-2013 Air Transport Framework: The Current Situation ATM Performance Targets ATM Target Concept ATM Deployment Sequence SESAR Definition Phase Deliverable D2 ATM Performance Targets • Vision • Performance targets • Short term improvements
The SESAR Vision • Achieve aperformance basedEuropean ATM System • Built inpartnership • To best support expectations from society and States incl. military and all other aviation activities Mobility of citizens & goods Cost effective Safe Secure Environmentally sustainable
Demand for capacity of airport infrastructure Provision of airport infrastructure Airspace Users Airports Demand for capacity of airspace & provision of air traffic services Demand for provision of air traffic services Air Navigation Service Providers A tri-partite Relationshipto Achieve Performance Future European ATM System Supply of airspace capacity & air traffic services
Performance Partnership is Key • Planning & operational decisions interact • All are based on the flight trajectory • ATM Performance Partnership must • Include well defined roles and responsibilities • Be based on a shared set of values & priorities and the recognition of network interactions • Leaning on • An ATM Institutional Framework caring about societal interests • An ATM Business Framework managing all phases of European ATM System lifecycle
High Level Performance Objectives Contribute to Vision 2020 Objectives for aeronautics: • 80% cut in NOx emissions • 50% cut in CO2 emissions per pax-Km • Halving perceived aircraft noise • 99% of all flights within 15 minutes of • timetable • Air traffic system capable of handling 16 million flights a year • Five-fold reduction in accident rates EC COMM on SESAR
Triple capacity • Half cost 2 • Environmental impact per flight: -10% SESAR Vision Objectives • A consistent, focussed and users-driven project • Ambitious ATM design objectives enabling • Factor 10 in terms of safety
2 Step 2: compare achievement & targets to assess gaps 3 Plan n Plan n Plan n+1 Step 3: update plans to mitigate gaps. Step 3: update plans to address gaps Application of a Performance-basedApproach 1 Expectations Target – Actual = gaps gaps Achieve- ments Perf targets Perf targets Step 1: transform expectations in performance targets
SESAR approach Current European work Performance Planning SESAR targets Conclusions Next Steps
Business level effects on users & operators No direct interest to airspace users customers Societal & political effects Societal Outcome Operational Performance Performance Enablers Safety + Security + Environmental Sustainability Cost Effectiveness + Capacity + Efficiency + Flexibility + Predictability Access & Equity + Participation + Interoperability 11 SESAR Key Performance Areas(same as ICAO)
A breakthrough in ATM performance target setting Design objectives Vs 2020 targets: intermediate targets also to be addressed KPIs for some areas: to be further completed, e.g. safety not only via accidents Initial Strategic Design Performance Objectives & Targets Trade-off consideration in the light of the operational concept Performance Targets
Performance Targets Derived from needs of society and airspace users Design Goals for scalable future capability: • Capacity: handle 3 times traffic • Safety: factor 10 • Environment: - 10% on effects per flight Progressive deployment, when/where needed • 2020 targets: • Capacity: + 73% overall • Safety: improvement factor 3 • Coststo airspace users: - 50% Also considered: Security, Efficiency, Flexibility, Predictability, Global Interoperability, Access, Equity, Participation (Reference: 2005)
Long term design objective: X 3 3 1.73 2020 capacity target: +73% 1 2005 2020 Performance Targets Capacity Capacity deployed as Traffic requires
Performance Targets Capacity • Network capacity: +73% in 2020 • average figure for Europe • need to adapt to varying growth in different parts of the airspace • Airport capacity depending on runway configuration and other constraints • E.g. single runway airport: up to 750 flights/day • Scalability: an essential parameter
2020 Target: Direct ATM total costs / 2 • Safety level: improved by factor 3 (2020) • (capability X 10 to meet a 3 X traffic increase ) Performance Targets Cost Effectiveness Safety Efficiency • ≥ 98% flight departing on-time (+/- 3 min / plan) • Fuel efficiency: < 5% of flights with additional fuel consumption of more than 2.5%
Local environmental rules affecting ATM 100% respected • Minimise noise emissions • Gas emission reduction (through reduction of excess fuel consumption - see KPA Efficiency) • Minimise adverse atmospheric effects Performance Targets Environment
SESAR approach Current European work Performance Planning SESAR targets Conclusions Next Steps
D3 - ATM Concept (June 07) D3 preview ATM Operational Concept Architecture Supporting technologies Incl. assessment of feasibility (affordable, safe, achievable,…)
Trade-offs & Commitment • Trade-off needed • To balance conflicting requirements for resource usage • To allow realistic transition • Even within a performance area: e.g. noise Vs emissions • Ambitious design targets to drive Development Phase work • Actual Commitment on implementation targets • Decisions to invest based on validated elements and steps
ATM Master Plan Work Programme for 2008-2013 Air Transport Framework: The Current Situation ATM Performance Targets ATM Target Concept ATM Deployment Sequence And then… Change steps with performance gains from agreed baselines (now, 2012, 2020) Actions of all stakeholders to achieve the performance benefits Reference to derive technical requirements for architecture & enabling systems
SESAR approach Current European work Performance Planning SESAR targets Conclusions Next Steps
Conclusions 1/3 • Data, a pre-requisite to discuss performance • Important to collect good data that people feel confident in sharing • Just culture essential to get usable safety related data • Safety is paramount, THE business of ATM • Environmental performance not specifically addressed at this symposium, but becomes increasingly important • Good environmental performance becomes essential to envisage building new airport capacity • Both Short and long term perspectives needed, in a balanced way
Conclusions 2/3 • Not everybody equal on all KPIs • Performance is not about blame culture, or bad & good, but about everybody being good within own environment • Partnership is essential • Aviation increasingly seen as a total system • Achievements result from shared efforts and contributions by different groups of stakeholders: all have rights and duties • Cooperation necessary with especially airports and airlines • users / ANSPs partnerships become increasingly common
Conclusions 3/3 • ATM Performance planning • Directly links actions & outcome • Facilitates decision making & interoperability (regional & global) • Novel domain • Still room to learn & develop • Evidence that approach helps deliver better performance • Performance based approach • Developed in Europe to deal with own very complex and varied set of circumstances • Our experiences as examples to those in similar circumstances • We are also eager to learn from others