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Introduction to Analytical Activism

Introduction to Analytical Activism. Climate Change. Climate Change. Freshwater Scarcity. Chemical Pollution. Analytical Activism. Difficult Problems. Deforestation. Freshwater Pollution. A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method. Soil Deterioration. Ozone

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Introduction to Analytical Activism

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  1. Introduction to Analytical Activism Climate Change Climate Change Freshwater Scarcity Chemical Pollution Analytical Activism Difficult Problems Deforestation Freshwater Pollution A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method Soil Deterioration Ozone Depletion Classic Activism Easy Problems Local Pollution Conservation Parks An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense Tree of Environmental Problems

  2. The Universal Problem Solving Process 1. Identify the patient 2. Describe the symptoms 3. Perform a diagnosis 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment 6. Measure the outcome

  3. Solving the Sustainability Problem With solution failure due to an error in step 2, 3 , or 4 1. Identify the patient The human system 2. Describe the symptoms Global environmental unsustainability 3. Perform a diagnosis Excessive impact in the IPAT equation A. Find the proper practices B. Tell the people about them C. If that fails, exhort and inspire The IPAT Equation Impact = Population x Affluence x Technology Population is total people. Affluence is consumption per person per year. Technology is impact per unit of consumption. 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment (done) 6. Measure the outcome Solution failure

  4. What part of the system is not well? The environmental movement An environmentalist is anyone who is actively helping to solve environmental problems. • Grassroots activists • Career professionals in government • Politicians • Well known retired vice-presidents • Academics • Corporate managers • Writers • Famous people • Many more

  5. Solving the Solution Failure Problem 1. Identify the patient The environmental movement 2. Describe the symptoms Unable to solve the sustainability problem 3. Perform a diagnosis 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment 6. Measure the outcome

  6. The Collapse of Easter Island

  7. The Same Pattern Continues Today

  8. Solving the Solution Failure Problem 1. Identify the patient The environmental movement 2. Describe the symptoms Unable to solve the sustainability problem Use of the wrong tools on difficult problems, due to use of Classic Activism. This causes pushing on low leverage points. 3. Perform a diagnosis Use of the right tools on difficult problems, due to use of Analytical Activism. This will allow pushing on high leverage points. 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment (not yet done) 6. Measure the outcome Solution success ?

  9. Solving the Sustainability Problem With solution success due to a correct diagnosis 1. Identify the patient The human system 2. Describe the symptoms Global environmental unsustainability Correct Diagnosis False Diagnosis 3. Perform a diagnosis Systemic change resistance Excessive impact in the IPAT equation A. Find the proper practices B. Tell the people about them C. If that fails, exhort and inspire Application of the right analytical tools will lead to pushing on high leverage points. 4. Determine the treatment (to be done) 5. Apply the treatment (done) 6. Measure the outcome Solution failure Solution success

  10. Problem Domain 9. The analysis centers on a social system structural analysis. 10. Low and high leverage points have been identified and tested. 11. Why change resistance is so successful has been determined. Analytical Activism 5. Formal definition, management, and continuous improvement of a process that fits the problem. 6. A true analysis of the problem is performed. 7. The Scientific Method is used to prove all key assumptions. 8. Learning from past failures and successes is maximized. Assessment of Process Maturity Classic Activism 1. Identify the problem. 2. Find the proper practices. 3. Tell people the truth about the problem and the proper practices. 4. If that fails, exhort and inspire the people to support the proper practices.

  11. The Two Basic Approaches to Solving Activist Problems Classic Activism Analytical Activism An intuitive approach An analytical approach Tell the people the truth about the proper practices and why they should follow them If that doesn’t work, exhort and inspire the people to follow the proper practices Find the proper practices A process that fits the problem Experimentation to support the Scientific Method Simulation modeling Pushing on low leverage points Pushing on high leverage points Success on easy problems Failure on difficult problems Success on easy problems Success on difficult problems

  12. The Alternative of Analytical Activism Pushing on High Leverage Points Climate Change Introduction to the New Paradigm Freshwater Scarcity Analytical Activism Chemical Pollution Correct Treatment Difficult Problems Deforestation A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method Freshwater Pollution Correct Diagnosis Soil Deterioration The Dueling Loops of the Political Powerplace Strategy Maps Classic Activism Easy Problems The Proper Coupling Package Experimentation Politician Decision Ratings An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense Simulation Modeling Local Pollution Conservation Parks Ozone Depletion A process that fits the problem Tree of Life Tree of Environmental Problems

  13. For Further Study The Dueling Loops paper, 29 pages The Dueling Loops book, 142 pages The Analytical Activism book, 389 pages

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