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HUMANITARIAN RESPONSE NETWORK IN SOUTH AMERICA. LCDR Hui Lee LCDR Ashwin Anupdev 03 Nov 2011. AGENDA. Background Network Model Network Formulation Analysis Conclusion. BACKGROUND. BACKGROUND. Dec 2004 – Indian Ocean, Tsunami from a 9.1 mag earthquake, over 283,000 death.
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HUMANITARIAN RESPONSE NETWORK IN SOUTH AMERICA • LCDR Hui Lee • LCDR AshwinAnupdev • 03 Nov 2011
AGENDA • Background • Network Model • Network • Formulation • Analysis • Conclusion
BACKGROUND • Dec 2004 – Indian Ocean, Tsunami from a 9.1 mag earthquake, over 283,000 death. • Oct 2005 – Pakistan, 7.6 mag earthquake, over 87,000 death. • Jan 2010 – Haiti, 7.0 mag earthquake, over 316,000 death. • Mar 2011– Japan, Tsunami from a 9.0 mag earthquake, over 5,000 death
US DEPT OF DEFENSE (DOD) • Global reach and provide an immediate response to distressed populations wherever and whenever. • Provide rapid, effective, low-cost and sustainable services. • Build key capacity in partner nations to promote national security and stability in the theater.
SCENARIO - HONDURAS • An earthquake of magnitude 8.0 – Honduras. • USSOUTHCOM – tasked to provide humanitarian relief. • Network operation – deliver water, power generator, communication and medical support. • Purpose - analyze the cost savings and the benefits of network.
NETWORK MODEL • Nodes : • Fleet Industrial Supply Centers • Naval Air Stations • US Naval and Coast Guard ships • Fixed Air wings • Defense Logistic Agencies • NPS HFN team (Hastly Formed Network – Nemesis Network Warfare Van, deployable wireless communications)
NETWORK MODEL • Intermediate node –FISC San Diego, NAS Forth Worth, Ships. • End node - USSOUTHCOM – all activities report back for completion. • Edges – (Transfer Cost, 0, Capacity) • Limiting factors – capacity availability and cost of modes • Ships • Planes • Trucks
NETWORK Supply Intermediate Demand
FORMULATION • Primal Problem – LP – to find the min- cost multi commodity flow • Dual Problem – MIP – to find the best interdiction plan (arc or node) • To find the min-cost flow with the current interdiction plan
PRIMAL PROBLEM - LP • Objective Function • Constraints • BALANCE OF FLOW • CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS • FIXING Y
ATTACKS • Arcs – eliminate an arc completely by putting maximum delay. • Nodes – eliminate node completely by putting maximum delay in arc between fake start and end nodes.
OPERATOR RESILIENCE (ARCS) Cost COST (IN 1000) ATTACKS
OPERATOR RESILIENCE(NODES) COST (IN 1000) ATTACKS
ATTACKS(NODES) • For more number of attacks the Cost changes slightly. • Big jump from 1 to 2. • The cost does not change when NasFortWorth is attacked. • When FiscJacksonville is interdicted the cost goes up to huge amounts.
CONCLUSION • Pre-position the equipment and supplies in the near high probable disaster areas. • Shorter response distance and time will result less cost overall.
CONCLUSION • If the project presentation was next week? • Time Element • Stochastic Element • Cost considered per unit of shipment • Complex network