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“ Measuring the Performance of Gateways: How are Ireland’s Primary Urban Centres Developing? ”. Adrian O’Donoghue - Policy & Research Officer BMW Regional Assembly ESPON, Brussels, 27.11.13. Border, Midland and Western (BMW) Regional Assembly.
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“Measuring the Performance of Gateways: How are Ireland’s Primary Urban Centres Developing?” Adrian O’Donoghue - Policy & Research Officer BMW Regional Assembly ESPON, Brussels, 27.11.13
Border, Midland and Western (BMW) Regional Assembly Established: 1999 Designated of Ireland into 2 Regions for EU Structural Funds Purposes 3 Areas 1-ERDF Programmes (€452m) 2-Policy&Research 3-Interreg Role
Presentation Overview • Ireland’s Gateways (PUCs) • Measuring the Performance of Gateways • What Does the Final Index Tell Us? • Application of the Index
National Spatial Strategy 2002-2020 9 Gateways + 9 Hubs ----------------------------- ‘Draw development away from the Greater Dublin Area’ GROW ECONOMIC REACH of Regional Growth Centres v
Logic for the Development of an Index Socio-Economic Index Has been Developed to: • To Measure How Ireland’s Gateway (Cities & Towns) and Hub (Towns) are Driving Economic Development and Improving Quality of Life in their Areas – as Set out in the NSS 2002-2020 • TO-DATE No Composite Measure of Performance • Reflection of a Growing Need to Move Beyond Traditional Macroeconomic Indicators to Include Quality of Life/Soft Data • Index builds upon the concept of UN’s Human Development Index (Ireland 7th 2012) WHEN? • (x3) 2009 – 2012 – 2015/6 • Longitude Approach
What Makes a Successful Gateway/PUC? • A Distinct Core Necessary for Dynamic Urban Centres; • Attractive Physical Settings and Desirable Social Surroundings; • Attractive Place to Live and Work (High Quality of Life); • Knowledge-Led Economy with a Diversity of Employment Opportunities (Mixed Sectoral Economy); • Environmental Excellence;
Step 1- A FUNCTIONAL AREA APPROACH TO ANALYSIS
WHERE do Gateways/Hubs Stop? Defining Gateway/Hubs Functional Areas (Economic Reach) *CSO: Place of Work Census of Anonymised Records (POWCAR)
Economic Reach Gateways 2011 (PUCs)
Step 2- Capture Key Socio-Economic Factors (by Zones)
Growth Centre: Population Growth Prerequisite Vibrancy: Low Dependency Ratios = Attracting Working Age Cohort New Firms/Sectoral Mix-Higher Services Desirable/ Lower Unemployment Rate 3rd Level Education % of Workforce Locally Created Knowledge - R&D Spill-over Impacts Tend to be Local Water Quality Reflects Physical Environment - Waste Recovery, Measure of the Level of Recycling
Connectivity Level – Transport, Broadband and Level of Retail Activity (Attracts people-measure of overall Economic Vitality) Mortality Rates – Birth Weight (Health Measure) – No. of GPs per Capita High Crimes Levels – Negative Impact on Economic and Health Systems, capacity to attraction FDI, capital flight & brain drain (*UN-Global Report on Human Settlements) Affluence and Deprivation Index Scores (Trutz Haase) – Affluence Levels in Performing Gateways
Step 3 PERCEPTION STUDY to COMPLEMENT HARD DATA + Stakeholder Engagement
Perception Study Design The survey questionnaire asked 250 Gateway residents to comment on each of the following subjects (6.2 error rate =/-): • Awareness of the Gateway idea • Business and Employment in the Gateway • Education, Skills, and Training Provision in the Gateway • Services in the Gateway • Health and Well-being in the Gateway • Social Facilities/Supports in the Gateway • Physical Environment in the Area in the Gateway • Institutional Environment in the Gateway • Overall assessment of the Gateway as a place to live
Stakeholder Consultations • County and City Managers Association (CCMA) and Regional Planning Guideline Officers (Dublin Workshop) • BMW Region • Ballaghaderreen Workshop (Ballina/Castlebar,Galway, Midland, Sligo and Tuam) • Monaghan Workshop (Cavan, Dundalk, Letterkenny and Monaghan) • S&E Region • Waterford
3. What Does the Final Index Tell Us? • 9 Individual Gateway Reports • 1 Composite Hubs report • 1 Summary Report
4.6 5.0 4.6 4.8 5.4 5.9 4.8 4.7 5.3
Economic Reach Growth % (2002-2011) Dublin 17.2% All Other Gateways 17.9% (Galway 24.8%)
Letterkenny Functional Area 2011 (more than 20% in DEDs Commute to Z1 for Work)
Total Number Commuting from County Donegal to Derry City 2011 (NI Census 2011)
(+) - Higher Population Growth - Increase 3rd Level in Labour Force 3rd Level R&D/Student (increase) Strong Retail Activity Levels IT Connectivity Gains Lower Mortality Rates Higher Birth Weights Lower and Decreasing Crime Zone 1, Gateway Avg. (4.9) Z1+Z2 Letterkenny (4.6) Brief Overview GHDI 2012 Letterkenny (-) - Higher Dependency Ratios • Lower Levels of New Firm Formation • Low Actual 3rd Level R&D/Stud. • High Unemployment Rates • Lower Recycling Levels • Low Sustainable Transport • Lower GPs per Capita • High Levels of Deprivation • Zone 2 (4.3)
4. Working with the Index
Measure of Socio-Economic Performance of the FUNCTIONAL AREA + ECONOMIC REACH OF Primary Urban Centres Quantitative Index Both Economic & Social (Quality of Life Factors) Included Longitudinal Study: 2009, 2012 and 2015/2016 Repeatable at All Geographic Levels Utilisation of the Index
5. Analysis Tool: to Support Evidence Based Policy Making by Local, Regional and National Authorities in Policy Making/Programme Evaluation/Future Planning e.g., NSS Review 2014/2015, New Regional Spatial Economic Strategies (2014) 6. Further Analysis a) On-going Briefings with Local & Regional Authorities b) Publications c) Feed into Preparation of Regional Operational Programmes 2014-2020 by both Regional Assemblies Application of the Index
7. Online Tools: www.airo.ie/spatialindicators (All-Island Research Observatory- National University of Ireland Maynooth) www.MyPlan.ie (Dept of ECLG) 8. Next Index 2015/16 Application of the Index
www.bmwassembly.ie aodonoghue@bmwasembly.ie Thank You www.seregassembly.ie dbrennan@seregassembly.ie