670 likes | 840 Views
Disasters and Development : Including Hurricane Katrina: How did a poor world disaster happen in a rich country?. Prof. John C. Mutter Deputy Director The Earth Institute at Columbia University. Disasters and the poorest Does this have to be?.
E N D
Disasters and Development: Including Hurricane Katrina: How did a poor world disaster happen in a rich country? Prof. John C. Mutter Deputy Director The Earth Institute at Columbia University
Disasters and the poorest Does this have to be? Can your science help people like this?
Disasters and the poorest Does this have to be?
Three part case for the co-dependence of human well-being and the state of the planet • There is a global ecology of human well-being • Small variations around the norm in poor countries can act like disasters in rich countries -- the poorest are the most vulnerable • Natural disasters preferentially imperil the poorest
GDP per capita as a function of latitude. Poverty has a latitudinal dependence (J. Sachs)
What is the Human Development Index (HDI)? A summary composite index that measures a country's average achievements in three basic aspects of human development: LONGEVITY -- life expectancy at birth; KNOWLEDGE -- a combination of the adult literacy rate and the combined primary, secondary, and tertiary gross enrolment ratio; STANDARD of LIVING -- GDP per capita (Adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity, PPP, in US$). HDI is a more comprehensive measure of deprivation than income.
Characteristics of global disasters impacts • Preferentially imperil the poorest people • Large total deaths • Large relative to population • Large relative to level of exposure • Mortality risk is gender and age selective • Effect on market economy often minimal
Disaster mortality risk from combined hazards (World Bank Hot Spots: Dilley, Chen, Lerner-Lam et al)
Aggregate Natural Disasters Source UNDP 2004
Men have a small advantage
Flod vulnerability W.r.to latitude and HD
Tsunami damage Sri Lanka
Tsunami damage Sri Lanka
Mortality risk is a combination of physical and social Vulnerabilities: fragile dwellings in risky places.
Flood disaster economic losses Flood disaster mortality
Outcomes of Social and Physical Vulnerability East Orleans New Orleans Metairie (Lower Ninth Ward) Algiers Jefferson Parish St. Bernards Parish Sources: http://www.katrinadestruction.com/images/v/mapping/Flood+Depth+Estimation.html; http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Levee_and_flood_wall_failure_in_New_Orleans_(following_hurricane_Katrina)