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Long Term Sustainable Development Strategy, Latvia 2030

Long Term Sustainable Development Strategy, Latvia 2030. Process so far and development scenarios. Starting with values…. Rural Areas (293). Economic growth Job security Material wealth Prosperity. Governmental efficiency. Caring for elderly Caring for the disadvantaged

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Long Term Sustainable Development Strategy, Latvia 2030

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  1. Long Term Sustainable Development Strategy, Latvia 2030 Process so far and development scenarios Starting with values…

  2. Rural Areas (293) Economic growth Job security Material wealth Prosperity Governmental efficiency Caring for elderly Caring for the disadvantaged Environmental awareness Concern for future generations World peace Social justice Cultural Transformation Tools September 2007 Positive Values

  3. Regional Centres (219) Caring for elderly Environmental awareness Caring for the disadvantaged Children Concern for future generations Social justice Affordable housing Economic growth Job security Family Honesty Cultural Transformation Tools September 2007 Positive Values

  4. Larger Cities (159) Governmental efficiency Caring for elderly Caring for the disadvantaged Environmental awareness Quality of life Concern for future generations Human rights Affordable housing Economic growth Job security Prosperity Material wealth Cultural Transformation Tools September 2007 Positive Values

  5. Facts The time horizon of an average Latvia’s inhabitant is 18 months. Notwithstanding, in 2007 there were 0.4 loans per inhabitant. An average medium to long term loan term was 18 years. An average amount due every month is 350 USD. 86 % of all funds are kept in low yield form with yield not more than 50% of inflation. … think short term 81% of inhabitants have not heard anything about sustainability or sustainable life style do not care much about sustainability In 2030 demographic dependency ratio would be 57% (currently 46%), an average age 44 and the population decrease by 12.6% from the current. ...getting older In 2004 and 2005 49976 inhabitants acquired higher (University level) education, and 18% went to work outside the country (not continue studies). ...brain drain for real

  6. Pupil and student decrease by 2025

  7. Optimistic scenario of GDP and labour productivity growth - IKP pieaugums % European Central Bank, June 2007

  8. Easterlin paradox at play

  9. Key tenets Happy people living in a welfare state Sustainable and healthy life styles Creative, tolerant and youthful society Cooperation based competitiveness State as a fastability partner Strategic development dilemmas Social participation forums, discussions, expert debates, media coverage, www.Latvija2030.lv Four long term development scenarios Social participation forums, discussions, expert debates, media coverage, www.Latvija2030.lv Public consultations Preferred version and 1st edition Peer Review and recommendations

  10. Latvia occupies 23 place in EU-25 inovation ranking High tech share in exports 3.2% (19% of the EU-25 average) International patent applications- 4% of the EU average 90 national inventions patents registered in 2007 Latvia’s scientists work as ‘small partners’ in larger international scientific projects Expenditure on research and development – 0.57% from GDP (Sweden – 4%) Science, innovations 54.5% - of students in social sciences, entrepreneurship and law (34.3% EU average) 5.2% - natural sciences, mathematics and compsci (10.7%) 9.5% - engineering, construction (14.7%) Education

  11. Development scenarios – contrast method Identification of trends and issues Scoring of issues and trends Identification of drivers Building scenarios Stakeholder workshops

  12. The Dutch biotechnology development scenarios 2030 Avots: http://www.efmn.info/index.php?option=com_docman&task=doc_view&gid=68

  13. Scenarios Latvia 2030 • Resources • Power • Public governance • Education and Culture • Migration Scenario directions: • Economic life, entrepreneurship • Energy, environment • Spatial development • Risks and social costs Resource concentration A. Efficient and strong state C. Successful, large companies Self-regulation of social groupings Contract between an individual and the state D. Civil society B. FOCU- service providers Resource dispersal

  14. Key building ideas for the strategy –a) modes of livelihood, habitat, life satisfactionb) handling risks and challengesc) positioning within global value regimes

  15. Thank you for your attention!

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