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Higher Education’s Crystal Ball: Preparing for 2018

Higher Education’s Crystal Ball: Preparing for 2018. Deborah A. Santiago, PhD Excelencia in Education May 20, 2008. EASFAA Portland, Maine. What to look for?. -Shifting paradigm for higher education -higher education resistant to change Will you be resistant to change?. Sources.

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Higher Education’s Crystal Ball: Preparing for 2018

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  1. Higher Education’s Crystal Ball: Preparing for 2018 Deborah A. Santiago, PhD Excelencia in Education May 20, 2008 EASFAA Portland, Maine

  2. What to look for? -Shifting paradigm for higher education -higher education resistant to change Will you be resistant to change?

  3. Sources -National Center for Education Statistics -Spellings Commission -The Futures Project -”Madame Deborah”

  4. What does the future of higher education look like?

  5. More diverse enrollment Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to 2016

  6. Enrollment of Hispanics will continue to grow faster Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to 2016

  7. Enrollment of older students will grow faster than traditional Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to 2016

  8. Women continue to outpace men in undergraduate enrollment Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to 2016

  9. More students going full-time Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to 2016

  10. Growth of private institutions will continue to outpace public institutions Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to 2016

  11. Continuation of growing reliance on loans to pay for college Percentage of UG using loans to pay for college Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), National Postsecondary Aid Study (NPSAS): 2003-04 Undergraduate Students; and unpublished analysis

  12. Increasing: - costs - public scrutiny - capacity limitations - market competition Other changes to higher education’s future Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), National Postsecondary Aid Study (NPSAS): 2003-04 Undergraduate Students; and unpublished analysis

  13. What does the future hold for higher education? • Policy issues • Access • Affordability • Accountability • Market structure vs. public good TENSION in trying to balance disparate areas!!

  14. What does the future hold for access to higher education? • More diverse student body for outreach and service • Challenge to status quo and standard operating practice • Who takes responsibility for increasing access? Market structure: for-profit institutions see potential of enrolling Latinos and African American students

  15. What does the future hold for accountability in higher education? • More demand by politicians for proof of public return on investment while investing less • Challenge to status quo and standard operating practice • How balanceaccess and accountability? Market structure: raise admission standards to increase graduation rates and penalize institutions with low success rates

  16. What does the future hold for affordability in higher education? • Increasing costs and competition • Complexity of financial aid system • How balanceaccess, accountability, and affordability? Market structure: cost containment and increased productivity

  17. What Excelencia will do to address the future of higher education • Ignorance abatement on Latinos in higher education (Research) • Compendium of promising practices (Action) • Demonstration projects to show how institutions can serve (Action)

  18. What will YOU do to address the future of higher education?

  19. For more information please visit: www.EdExcelencia.org

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