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The Rising Complexity of Everyday Life

The Rising Complexity of Everyday Life. Linda S. Gottfredson , PhD School of Education University of Delaware Newark , Delaware USA Presented to the Alumni Association of the School of Psychology Karl Franzens University of Graz Graz, Austria 13 November 2012.

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The Rising Complexity of Everyday Life

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  1. The Rising Complexityof Everyday Life Linda S. Gottfredson, PhD School of Education University of Delaware Newark, Delaware USA Presented to the Alumni Association of the School of Psychology Karl FranzensUniversity of Graz Graz, Austria 13 November 2012

  2. Cognitive demands of everyday life

  3. Cognitive demands of everyday life 11. People differ in cognitive ability (g) 12. Life tasks differ in cognitive complexity (g loading). 3. So what?

  4. Everyday literacy • Name a reading task: • Very simple for most people • Very difficult for most people

  5. What about this one? AcmePharmacy Dept.7806Rt. 4 & Elkton Road Newark, DE Date: 07/05/03 Phone: (302) 453-2335 Rx# 19253 LINDA GOTTFREDSON TAKE 4 CAPSULES BY MOUTH 1 HOUR PRIOR TO DENTAL APPT. AMOXYCILLIN 500MG CAPSULE By GENEV Orig. Date 7/31/02 Refill Y Qty. 4 RPhSSM Label on a prescription vial

  6. Sample literacy items & error ratesTOHFLA test Patients examine the actual vials or documents Error rate ( %)

  7. Sample TOHFLA Items & Error Rates Patients examine the actual vials or documents But how representative? Error rate ( %)

  8. Typical literacy items, by difficulty levelNational Adult Literacy Survey (NALS), 1993 Daily self-maintenance in modern literate societies

  9. Items differ by difficulty level How, why??

  10. What makes some items more difficult?“Information processing complexity” Elements of “process complexity” • number of features to match • level of inference • abstractness of info • distracting information Not reading per se, but “problem solving” “To be, or not to be. That is the question.”

  11. Item at NALS Level 1 * 22% of US adults 78% of adults do better • Literal match • One item • Little distracting info 80% probability of correctly answering items of this difficulty level *

  12. Item at NALS Level 2 27% of US adults 22% 51% X • Simple inference • Little distracting information

  13. Item at NALS Level 3 31% of US adults 49% 20% • Cycle through complex table • Irrelevant info

  14. Item at NALS Level 4 17% of US adults 80% 3% Or, Solved • More elements to match • More inferences • More distracting information

  15. Item at NALS Level 5 3% of US adults 97% • Search through complex displays • Multiple distractors • Make high-level text-based inferences • Use specialized knowledge

  16. Landscape of cognitive risk Error rate (%) at mean score Low literacy Hi complexity Cognitive risk proficiency Literacy level: 2 Cognitive burden 3 Mean score: 4 5 Cognitive resources Could teach these individual items, but not all such tasks in daily life.

  17. “Literacy” ≈ verbal comprehension ≈ general ability Wide variation Gradual growth ~IQ 80 John B Carroll

  18. Sample IQ Items(individually administered) Complexity is the active ingredient: More complex tasks are more “g loaded” Infer the rule More abstract % = % of 16-65 year-olds getting at least partial credit for answer, WAIS, 1955

  19. Literacy/IQ/g is: • Ability to avoidcognitive error • Not content specific

  20. Typical life outcomes along the IQ continuum 10th 15th 30th Military trainability thresholds Odds of socioeconomic success increase

  21. “Reasoning & Judgment” factorJob analysis 1 (Arvey, 1986) Job requirements:

  22. More results • Job attributes that correlate highly with job complexity: Like life itself!

  23. Practical value of g level differs by task complexity & life arena Standardized academic achievement .8 Job performance—complex jobs Years of education .6 Occupational level Job performance—middle-level jobs .4-.5 Income .3-.4 Delinquency -.25 Job performance—simple jobs .2 correlation with IQ g But all require some learning & reasoning

  24. Innovation increases complexity

  25. Hazards of innovation

  26. Landscape of cognitive risk Cognitive risk Error rate (%) at mean score proficiency Literacy level: 2 3 Mean score: 4 5 Cognitive burden 23% % adults peaking in this range: 28% 31% 15% 3%

  27. So what? Chronic disease Healthy ageing Accidental injury

  28. Life Requires “Defensive Driving” to Prevent Accidents Highly cognitive process • Recognize hazards • Prevent incidents starting • Halt progress of incidents • Limit damage during incidents • Recover and redesign Same process as with chronic illness.

  29. % of civilian deaths FIRE Snake bite Drowned Lightning Got lost Snake bite Falling object Lightning Jaguar Drowning Firearms Vehicles Lightning Cut/pierced Caught/crushed Falling object Machines Hi relative risk by SES & male All preventable using “mind’s eye”

  30. Important for dealing with the unexpected

  31. Chronic Illness Requires Foresight & Prevention • Keep informed • Live healthy lifestyle • Get preventive checkups • Detect signs and symptoms • Seek timely, appropriate medical attention • Adhere to treatment

  32. “Health Self-Care Is As Important as Medical Care”US Surgeon General You are your own “primary health care” provider” And it’s becoming a more complex job

  33. Lots of self-instruction

  34. The diabetes patient’s job description Training Objective: Keep blood glucose within safe limits • Learn about diabetes in general (At “entry’) • Physiological process • Interdependence of diet, exercise, meds • Symptoms & corrective action • Consequences of poor control • Apply knowledge to own case (Daily, Hourly) • Implement appropriate regimen • Continuously monitor physical signs • Diagnose problems in timely manner • Adjust food, exercise, meds in timely and appropriate manner • Coordinate with relevant parties (Frequently) • Negotiate changes in activities with family, friends, job • Enlist/capitalize on social support • Communicate status and needs to practitioners • Update knowledge & adjust regimen (Occasionally) • When other chronic conditions or disabilities develop • When new treatments are ordered • When life circumstances change • Conditions of work—24/7, no days off, no retirement Self- management

  35. Patient’s everyday reality

  36. Good glucose control requires good judgment • IT IS NOT mechanically following a recipe • IT ISkeeping a complex metabolic system under control in often unpredictable circumstances(like accident prevention process) • Coordinate a regimen having multiple interacting elements • Adjust parts as needed to maintain good control of system buffeted by many other factors • Anticipate lag time between (in)action and system response • Monitor advance “hidden” indicators (blood glucose) to prevent system veering badly out of control • Decide appropriate type and timing of corrective action if system veering off-track • Monitor/control other shocks to system (infection, emotional stress) • Coordinate regimen with other daily activities • Plan ahead (meals, meds, etc.) • For the expected • For the unexpected and unpredictable • Prioritize conflicting demands on time and behavior

  37. Preventing/managing chronic disease: Also a life-long “job” • that pile up Heavy cognitive burdens

  38. The health provider’s reality My blood sugar is 154 over 90. Eye exam I don’t eat sugar any more. Just pasta. Exercise, except when… Meds Don’t stress Title It’s low fat, so it’s healthy. Sick day rules Monitor sugar Interpret readings I skipped lunch so I could have a big dinner. Coordinate meds & eating Do A if low, Do B if high What’s a carb?? Adjust insulin Collaborators Conference venue Check feet You mean I have to measure stuff?! Proper diet Never tested my sugar because I never figured out my meter. Count carbs Read labels Can I still eat donuts? Call 911 for C, but doctor for D Patient fails to take control

  39. Attention-diverting labeling Organic No sugar added Healthy

  40. Pros: • Fewer items • Single vertical list • Major headings stand out • Cons: • Lots of irrelevant info • Seemingly inconsistent info

  41. Increasing Complexity Favors the Young Raw mental horsepower (ability to learn and reason) rises into early adulthood, then falls Average profile only Basic cultural Knowledge (GC) g - Basic information processing (GF) Age Score relativetoagemates (“IQ”) is stable from adolescence on

  42. Complexity & Aging

  43. Literacy levels require different cognitive support • Minimal • Moderate • Strong

  44. 1. When cognitive budget is small, spend it wisely. High g loadings are expensive. 2. Focus on critical tasks 3. Teach g-efficiently 4. Supply g support

  45. Thank you. • gottfred@udel.edu • http://www.udel.edu/educ/gottfredson

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