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Stock Track Portfolio Project 09-10. Funds Managers Hung Pun Ki, Majesty 2008078285 Mak Yin Yan, Wendy 2008299994 Wong Lam Wai, David 2008085991 Yau Tat Kwan, Jacob 2008046921. Presentation Flow. Trading Philosophy and Strategy. Behavior Bias. Analysis of selected trade.
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Stock Track Portfolio Project 09-10 Funds Managers Hung Pun Ki, Majesty 2008078285 Mak Yin Yan, Wendy 2008299994 Wong Lam Wai, David 2008085991 Yau Tat Kwan, Jacob 2008046921
Presentation Flow Trading Philosophy and Strategy Behavior Bias Analysis of selected trade Relative and Absolute Performance Future Prospective 1 2 3 4 5
1 Market is NOT efficient! Believe in Value Investing 2 Believe in Momentum Investing 3 Trading Philosophy
Trading strategy • Primarily in Hong Kong Stock Market • Easily to obtain information via Internet • With a deeper understanding • Can catch the market sentiment easier • Asset allocation • At the beginning as outlined,10% spots and future, 20% cash, remaining contributed to HK stocks
Behavior Bias • Ignorance of short-term game • emphasize on long term investment • Only 3 months • Neglect short-term volatility • Selection of unfamiliar market • Buying of derivatives • Asymmetric information
0363 – SHANGHAI INDUSTRIAL HOLDINGS LIMITED • 1st reason: On 31/3, Announcement of 2009 Annual Results show 00363 is bullish. • 2nd reason: On 31/3 • Shanghai Industrial holdings Ltd released its 2009 Annual Financial performance • Overall gross profit rises by 5.8% • Profit in real estate sector rises by 66.2% • Final dividend 60 cents per share • Catch the advantage of Shanghai Expo
0363 – SHANGHAI INDUSTRIAL HOLDINGS LIMITED • However, there is a series of bad news.
0005 HSBC • 4/2 monthly statement, new stocks released • 17/2 announcement of fourth quarter results
Select Trade 3- Speculation (8173.HK) Use at most 30% of money on speculative trading Ride on moment with the help of technical analysis Cut loss strictly at 15% Bet on stocks with highest beta
Selected Trade- Technical Analysis K line cross from below over the S line Sudden Increase in Turnover => We wait for rising trend
Select Trade 3- Speculation Buy at 0.061 Increase stakes at 0.073 Start profit taking at 0.091 Return =37.8% Lessons learnt When making profit, withdraw part of the money out and let the remaining run for itself.
Relative performance Majesty Fund HSI
Relative performance • Benchmark: Hang Seng Index • Outperform the benchmark!
Market Efficiency • Null hypothesis • The market is in a random walk process hence it is efficient • Result from tests • Test statistics> critical values for both tests • The market is efficient • Reject the null hypothesis
Our perspective in 2010 Health Care Reform Renewable Energy
Late Performance • Huge returnRate of return in the last month= 15% • Constant return • Highest among all funds • Rate of return of HSI= 7.4%
Majesty Fund • We learned from mistakes • We invest in our strongest • We have good market sentiment Fact!! These make Majesty Fund the best performed PROVEN
The End • Thank you very much for your attention!