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Monitoring the Implementation and Impacts of GAFTA

The ten questions. 1. Why Policy Monitoring?2. Why Monitoring of GAFTA?3. Why Monitoring of GAFTA by NAPC?4. What has been done by NAPC?5. What has been done by GAFTA?6. What has been achieved by NAPC? 7. What has been achieved by GAFTA?8. What remains to be done by GAFTA?9. What remains to

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Monitoring the Implementation and Impacts of GAFTA

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    1. Monitoring the Implementation and Impacts of GAFTA Experiences, results and prospects after one year of policy monitoring at NAPC 10 QUESTIONS posed and (tried to be) answered by Manfred Metz, FAO Consultant

    2. The ten questions 1. Why Policy Monitoring? 2. Why Monitoring of GAFTA? 3. Why Monitoring of GAFTA by NAPC? 4. What has been done by NAPC? 5. What has been done by GAFTA? 6. What has been achieved by NAPC? 7. What has been achieved by GAFTA? 8. What remains to be done by GAFTA? 9. What remains to be done by NAPC? 10. What else can be expected from NAPC?

    3. 1. Why Policy Monitoring? To find out whether the policy is implemented as planned. To find out whether the policy is on the “right track”, i.e. working towards reaching its objectives. To identify critical factors which - affect the policy implementation process, and/or - hamper the policy to reach the planned results. To provide prompt feed-back to policy makers, so they are able to make early adjustments of policy design and implementation towards increasing the effectiveness of the policy to reaching its objectives.

    4. 2. Why Monitoring of GAFTA? It will help to find out whether, and to what extent, GAFTA works towards achieving the planned objectives of enhancing o trade, o integration, and o development in the member countries, here particularly in Syria.

    5. 3. Why Monitoring of GAFTA by NAPC? Relevance of GAFTA for agricultural trade and sector development, Mandate of NAPC to undertake applied research and to provide advisory support in the field of agricultural policies, Capacity for policy monitoring has been built up in NAPC.

    6. 4. What has been done by NAPC? Establishment of a Task Force for Policy Monitoring, Getting acquainted with methods for policy monitoring, Review of the content and the state of implementation of GAFTA, Analysis of the impacts of GAFTA during the first four years of implementation.

    7. 5. What has been done by GAFTA? 1) Gradual reduction of import tariffs (10% p.a. 1998-2001, 20% p.a. 2002-2004), 2) Abolishment of (one) NTB: Import ban, 3) Introduction of “Agricultural Calendar”.

    8. 6. What has been achieved by NAPC? Documentation of the contents of GAFTA, of the process of implementation and of the relevant conditions and regulations, Assessment of the impacts of GAFTA during the first four years of implementation, Identification of critical factors which affect the implementation of GAFTA and the achievement of the objectives.

    9. 7. What has been achieved by GAFTA? Main achievement: Substantial increase of imports from GAFTA member countries (3.7% p.a.), particularly of agricultural imports (6.2% p.a.), while total and agricultural imports from the rest of the world declined. Major reason for this achievement: Lifting of import ban. No other significant impacts of GAFTA can be identified as yet: While overall Syrian exports increased by 7.4% p.a., GAFTA exports declined by 1% p.a.; Agricultural exports to GAFTA member countries declined slightly less (by 3.7% p.a.) than agric. exports to the rest of the world.

    10. 8. What remains to be done by GAFTA? Continue with tariff reduction as planned until elimination To effectively address the issue of NTBs (to make them transparent and work towards reduction / elimination), Harmonisation of trade regulations and practices, particularly with regard to: - Bilateral agreements, - Rules of origin, - Treatment of Free Trade Zones

    11. 9. What remains to be done by NAPC? Presentation and dissemination of the results of the monitoring exercise to the policy makers, other stakeholders and the public. Pointing out the factors which have prevented Syria and the other member countries from taking full advantage of GAFTA so far. Continue to monitor the further process of GAFTA implementation. Trace the impacts of GAFTA on agricultural trade further down the impact chain, up to the impacts on agricultural markets, production and income.

    12. 10. What else can be expected from NAPC? To offer and make use of its capacity for policy monitoring for monitoring the implementation and impacts of other relevant policies in Syria, e.g.: Policies of getting prepared for EU Association and WTO membership, Water / irrigation policies, Economic and (agricultural) sector reform policies.

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