Optimization for Sustainable Water Resources Management (OPTIMA)

1. Optimization   for Sustainable Water Resources Management(OPTIMA) Presentation of Jordan Case Study Zarqa River Basin to the Third Management Board Meeting May 18-19, 2006 Gumpoldskirchen, Austria

2. Project Team

3. Contribution to WP 01 Requirements and Constraints FEEM • Level of Efforts by UJO 2 m/m • Activities: • Stakeholders were identified • Gender information were obtained • Source of information were identified • Data availability against requirements were defined • Data constrains were identified Status: • D01 (D1.1 and D1.2) were submitted by FEEM

4. Contribution to WP 02 Socio-Economic frame work; objectives, criteria and indicators IRMCO • Level of Efforts by UJO 1 m/m • Activities: • Hydrological Map, Main Cities and Towns, Land Use of 2002, The location of the Basin in Jordan and some photos were sent to IRMCO for the Poster. • Challenges, water issues, gender issues and other related information were also sent Status: • D02 were submitted by IRMCO

7. Contribution to WP 03 Analytical tools: simulation and optimization models ESS • Level of Efforts by UJO 1 m/m • Activities: • Hydrological data were collected and used to validate the WRM. • Many problems were solved with the model using problem reporting. • Wastewater treatment node needs to be treated not like geometry node. Status: • D03 were submitted by ESS

8. Contribution to WP 04 Techno-economic data compilation and analysis INTERGEO • Level of Efforts by UJO 1m/m • Activities: • The link to this WP has been opened • Needs time to understand and enter required data. • Many items were found missing; need updating regarding technologies used in UJO CS. Status: • D04 (D4.1 and D4.2) are due in July 2006

9. Contribution to WP 05 Land use change: remote sensing and GIS data NCRS • Level of Efforts by UJO 1 m/m • Activities: • GIS data for the followings were sent to NCRS: DEM, TIN, LU2002, area location, contours, wells, surface water bodies, administration boundaries, cities, towns and villages, main roads, streams, soils, rainfall and metrological stations, runoff gages, wastewater treatment plants. Status: • D05 (D5.1) is due in July 2006

11. Contribution to WP 06 System integration and implementation ESS • Level of Efforts by UJO 1 m/m • Activities: • Able to use the WRM from web server at ESS. • Use the forum, problem reporting, access to deliverable and other tools. Status: • D06 (D6.1) is due in July 2006

12. Contribution to WP 10 Jordan Case study: Zarqa River Basin UJO • Level of Efforts by UJO 30 m/m • Activities: • The basin was divided into 6 sub-basin considering topography, rainfall variation and urbanization. • Water supply for each sub-basin was obtained or determined in quantity, time series and location • Water Demand for each sub-basin was obtained or determined in time series and in quantity for each sector.

13. Contribution to WP 10 Jordan Case study: Zarqa River Basin UJO • Activities: • Data on supply and demand for each node were entered and stored as time series. • WRM is now operational for the base-line scenario. • Land use/ cover change were assessed from 1992 till 2002 using Markov chain model. • Results of the base line scenario are obtained. Status • D10.1: Jordan problem analysis due July 2006 • D10.2: Optimization results due May 2007.

25. Contribution to WP 10 Case study: Zarqa River, Jordan Milestone: Performance: The baseline scenario has been defined based on compiling all data and operating all tools.

26. Contribution to WP 10 Case study: Zarqa River, Jordan • Impact Indicator: • The stakeholders expressed their satisfaction on the approach and results of the baseline scenario. • However, some constructive remarks have been raised and will be considered in the process of updating the scenario. • The stakeholder have suggested some guidelines to build the future scenarios to be incorporated in the optimization strategy.

27. Land Use Changes

28. Land use/cover • Visual interpretation of Landsat TM (1992,1998 and 2002) following CORINE scheme • GIS- analysis • Area of each LU/C • Transition matrices (probability of change) • Prediction of future Land use in the basin: • Using Markov chain • Based on the rate of change in the period 1992-2002.

29. Land use/cover classification scheme

30. Accuracy of mapping

31. Land use map of 2002

32. Land use of 2002

34. Probability matrix between different classes, period 1992-2002 (10 years period).

35. Predicted land use

36. Summary of predicted land use

37. Non irrigated arable land (211,4) Permanently irrigated land (212,5)

38. Forest; al-Alouk forest (310,7) Bare rock, open spaces (333,9)

39. Water bodies (512,10) Water harvesting In Qa’a Khana Khirbat es-Samra wastewater treatment plant

40. Structure of the Problem Analysis Report Due in July, 2006 (Deliverable No 10.1) • Description of the case study • Water management issues • Stakeholder participation • Institutional arrangement • Water allocation among sector

41. Structure of the Problem Analysis Report Due in July, 2005 (Deliverable No 10.1) • Building baseline scenario • identify and defining basin objects • Collecting input data for supply node • Verifying time series data • Incorporating inter basin transfer • Exporting data into the main server • Building the topology features of the WRM • Comparison of calculated results of the mass balance with that observed at control stations (nodes).

42. Structure of the Problem Analysis Report Due in July, 2005 (Deliverable No 10.1) 7. Baseline evaluation and analysis: • direct and indirect cost • Cost benefit ratio • Constraints and instrument • Stakeholder view of the baseline scenario • Modification needed to baseline scenario

43. Structure of the Problem Analysis Report Due in July, 2006 (Deliverable No 10.1) 8. Land use changes: • Land uses by sector • Evaluation of changes from 1992-2002 • Prediction of changes for the next 15 years • Recommendation on land use • Next step • Future scenario • Optimization strategy • Water technologies

44. Contribution to WP 14 Evaluation post-optimal analysis COR • Level of Efforts by UJO 1 m/m • Activities: • X Not yet Status: • D14.1: Decision analysis report due May 2007 • D14.2: Stakeholder involvement report due May 2007

45. Contribution to WP 15 Comparative analysis: generic lessons and best practice ELARD • Level of Efforts by UJO 3 m/m • Activities: X Not yet • Status: • D15.1: Case study comparative analysis due May 2007 • D15.2: Best practices report due May 2007

46. Contribution to WP 16 Dissemination, networking and exploitation IRMCO • Level of Efforts by UJO 2 m/m • Activities: • Data on stakeholder were sent • Maps and pictures were sent for poster production • A paper on “Water Management in Zarqa Basin” was presented in WATMED2 in Marrakech, Morocco, Nov., 2005. • The project has been announced under UNESCO chair web page within the University site. • The Project has been introduced to the stakeholder in the workshop on May 16, 2006.

47. Contribution to WP 16 Dissemination, networking and exploitation IRMCO Status: • D16.1: project website due June 2007 • D16.2: Guidelines for local participation due June 2007 • D16.3 Regional dissemination workshop due June 2007 • D16.4 Dissemination report due June 2007

48. Stakeholders Workshop

49. AGENDA

50. Thank you