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COMMISSION FOR ATMOSPHERC SCIENCES (CAS) ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH AND ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME (AREP). Report on Activities of the Commission for Atmospheric Sciences (CAS) and Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme (AREP) in Support of the WMO DPM Programme.
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COMMISSION FOR ATMOSPHERC SCIENCES (CAS)ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH AND ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME (AREP) Report on Activities of the Commission for Atmospheric Sciences (CAS) and Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme (AREP) in Support of the WMO DPM Programme Dr. Michel Béland, President of CAS Dr. Len Barrie, Director, AREP Dr. Slobodan Nickovic, Scientific Officer, ARREP WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
CAS Mandate Support of research in atmospheric science to: • Reduce and mitigate natural disasters, • Protect the environment, • Enhance understanding and response to environmental change through the Global Atmospheric Watch (GAW) and World Weather Research Programme (WWRP-THORPEX) WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
CAS COMPONENTS: 2006-2010 WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
CAS: WWRP-THORPEX • Goals – to improve forecasting of • High-impact weather (tropical storms, monsoons) • Clouds and precipitation • Chemical Weather • Sand and dust storms WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
Deliverables • Warning on extreme-weather related hazards • Improvement of forecast skill • Designing strategy for interactive forecasting and observation • Data assimilation for satellite and in situ data • Testing the effectiveness of a global ensemble forecasting system • Status • Early implementation stage; timeline: 2005-2014 • Responsible • OPAG-WWRP • Crosscutting cooperation • CBS, CIMO, CCI, All RA’s WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
Global Interactive Forecast System based on THORPEX INTERACTIVE GLOBAL GRAND ENSEMBLE (TIGGE) Ensembles of global forecasts conducted by three Centres (CMA, ECMWF & NCAR) Distributed archives providing regional products WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
WMO Sand and Dust Storm Warning System • WWRP/GAW Sand and Dust Storm (SDS) Projectwas established in September 2004 • The Development of a Regional Sand and Dust Storm Early Warning System in East Asiawas presented at the Third International Early Warning Conference, Bonn, Germany, 27-29 March 2006 • A new proposal on WMO Sand and Dust Storm (SDS) Warning System extending the scope to two other regionshas been accepted at the Scientific Steering Committee meeting for SDS Project (November 2006 Shanghai, China) PROJECT OBJECTIVE: To establish a WMO-coordinated global network of SDS forecasting centers delivering products useful to a wide range of users for reducing the impacts of SDS WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
A WMO survey in 2006: more than 40 Member States expressed interest to participate in SDS project
Deliverables • Designated three Regional WMO SDS Warning System (SDSWS) Centres: • Spain (for the Europe/Africa/Middle East region) • China (for the Eastern Asia region) • Canada (for the Southern America region) • Research operational SDS forecasts provided by eight organizations within the above three regions • Establishing a WMO SDSWS portal to support the above activities • Established an expert group for SDSWS implementation • Proposed an Secretariat-based group in support of SDSWS activities and cross-cutting issues • WMO/GEO Expert Meeting on International Sand and Dust Storm Warning System” to be organized in Barcelona, Spain in November 2007; WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
CAS Agriculture Data exchange CBS CAgM Aviation CAeM • Status • Implementation; Timeline: 2006-2015 • Responsible • OPAG-WWRP, OPAG-EPAC • Crosscutting aspects • All affected regions: RA I, II, IV, V, VI, • NHMSs (Spain, Japan, China, Korea, Canada); • Academia: U of Arizona, Barcelona • Users, modellers, observation community ACADEMIA WHO Developments Health WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
Napoli Raman Lidar 13 April 2002 WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
Dust impacts health Valley Fever endemic regions WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
CAS: Tropical Meteorology Research - Monsoon variability, tropical cyclone forecasting, tropical limited area modeling • Deliverables • Improved accuracy of high impact weather forecasts • Training workshops on monsoon, tropical cyclone and application based on NWP • Status • Implementation; Timeline: 2007-2011 • Responsible • OPAG-WWRP • Crosscutting cooperation • WCRP, All RA I, II, IV, V, ICSU WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
CAS: GAW Programme • Deliverables • Improving environmental security by implementing of the Integrated Global Atmospheric Composition Observation (IGACO) strategy • Scientific assessments in support of environmental policy • Coordinating global measurements of atmospheric chemical variables • Routine monitoring of air pollution and sand/dust storms • Responsible • OPAG-EPAC • Status • Ongoing programme, Timeline: 2007-2016 • Crosscutting cooperation • IGACO, NHMSs WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
Ozone and Aerosols - Essential Multi-Hazard Climate and Weather Variables Beijing Roof CMA March 20 2002 DUST POLLUTION FIRES OZONE HOLE & UV Global Aerosol Optical Depth
AREP: Development of an Advanced Tropical Cyclone Early Warning System for the Philippines • Deliverables • Education and training of local personnel on NWP, interpretation of RS observations, risk management • Acquisition of advanced equipment and software • Transfer of technology to other countries in the region (in the second phase after 2009) • Status • Work Plan development stage; Timeline: 2007-2011 • Responsible • OPAG-WWRP • Crosscutting cooperation • CBS, RA V and II, NHMS of Philippines, Australia, Japan, USA, Japan MRI, US NCAR, US National Hurricane Center WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
AREP (THORPEX): Health and Climate Partnership for Africa • Deliverables • Reviewing social impacts of timely warnings of epidemics • Education and training both meteorological and medical community • Improved understanding of relationship between environmental conditions and health outcomes • Downscaling of seasonal forecasts to a particular regions interest • Status • Work Plan development; Timeline: 2007-2011 • Responsible • OPAG-WWRP • Crosscutting cooperation • WCP, WCRP, RAF; • WHO, CERMES, ACMAD, AGRHYMET, ECMWF, NOAA, U of Liverpool, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, US EPA WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
AREP: Weather Modification Activities • Deliverables • WM research projects in different member States for precipitation enhancement and hail suppression • Status • Ongoing activities in Member States • Responsible • OPAG-WWRP • Crosscutting cooperation • No WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva
Backup slides WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva