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Projects of Common Interest 2018 - 2019

This project aims to develop a methodology for identifying system needs that can be addressed through infrastructure in the context of PCI projects. It will focus on indicators and thresholds to ensure consistency, market integration, security of supply, and sustainability. The project will also include the identification and validation of needs specific to the BEMIP region.

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Projects of Common Interest 2018 - 2019

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  1. Projects of Common Interest 2018 - 2019 Meeting of TEN-E BEMIP 5 March 2019 DG ENER, Networks & Regional Initiatives https://ec.europa.eu/eusurvey/runner/PCIs_Electricity_05March19

  2. Agenda • 1. Welcome and general introduction • 2. Identification of system needs per region methodology • 3. Regional needs identification and validation • 4. First insight in the PCI assessment methodology • 5.Conclusions • 6. Next steps

  3. Identification of system needs per region methodology [Presentation on the draft final methodology for the identification of system needs that can be addressed through infrastructure in the context of the identification of PCI projects for the 4th PCI-list: purpose, use of indicators and proposed thresholds for indicators]

  4. Needs identification process We are here Written comment received from: AT [TSO, MS]; DE [TSOs]; DK [MS]; ES [MS, TSO]; FR [NRA,MS, TSO]; IT [NRA,TSO]; LV [MS]; NO [MS]; NGO [RGI]; non-TSO Promoters [Aquind, Iland, Greenconnector]; PL [MS]; PT [TSO]; SI [TSO]; SK [TSO]; UK [TSO, MS]

  5. Principle

  6. Indicators framing Meaningful: An indicator/threshold that results in all countries or no country being impacted is not well defined Fit for purpose: Within the PCI process indicators and thresholds are used to identify critical European needs/problems Use of indicators and thresholds Consistent: Indicators must be based on consistently defined and calculated data available for all relevant countries

  7. Indicators

  8. Market integration Where: country A and B are interconnected countries Need identification steps: Identify all the relevant borders and compare the cost spreads at the borders between those countries in 2030 For each of the TEN-E region separately- select the countries in the upper 30 percentile [threshold] of the price difference. Analyse the results in corroboration with the Member States input and the overall regional discussion.

  9. Security of supply (SoS) - Adequacy Measured by: Loss of load expectation [LOLE] Source of data: ENTSO-E Mid-term Adequacy Forecast [MAF], scenario for 2025, sever conditions Need identification steps: Extract the LOLE data, from ENTSO-E 2018 Mid-term adequacy Forecast report, for each of the EU Member States. Apply to the collected LOLE data, a threshold of 3h. This threshold is common for all the TEN-E priority corridors. Analyse the results in corroboration with the Member States input and the overall regional discussion.

  10. Security of supply (SoS) – Significant changes in generation portfolio RES capacity increase Conventional capacity decrease Where: RES variable = wind, solar, tidal and run of river and Conventional = coal, lignite, nuclear, biomass, gas and oil Need identification steps: Compute the formulas above for each of the EU Member State. Apply the threshold of 50% [for RES increase] and -30% [decrease of conventional generation]. This threshold is common for all the TEN-E regional groups. Analyse the results in corroboration with the Member States input and the overall regional discussion.

  11. Security of supply (SoS) -Residual Load Ramp Need identification steps: Derive for each of the EU Member State the ramp curves. Identify the affected countries. For this indicator no threshold is necessary. Analyse the results in corroboration with the Member States input and the overall regional discussion.

  12. Sustainability – RES curtailment Need identification steps: Compute the formulas above for each of the EU Member State. Apply the threshold of 2% to identify the countries which are most impacted by the RES curtailment. This threshold is common for all the TEN-E regional groups. Analyse the results in corroboration with the Member States input and the overall regional discussion.

  13. Baltic synchronization • Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania are the only Member States within continental Europe part the European Union whose electricity networks are still not operated in a synchronous mode within the continental European system. • This need is representative only for the Regional Group BEMIP and will only be used for this region.

  14. Regional needs BEMIPidentification and validation • [In this part of the meeting we will: • identify which market, security of supply or sustainability problems/bottlenecks/needs are having a significant impact on the countries in the TEN-E priority corridor • consider which of the needs identified in the previous step are to be included in the agreed list of needs for the TEN-E priority corridor (based on impact and relevance for each region) • validate the methodology for the identification of system needs that can be addressed through infrastructure • agree the list of system needs that can be addressed by infrastructure in the TEN-E priority corridor.]

  15. Finlandneeds • SOS Adequacy • Market integration • SOS residual load ramps • Not enough capacity to cover demand in peak loads (acknowledged by the Mid-Term Adequacy Forecast 2018) • Dependent on imports Needs identified by the Member State Outcomes of the needs methodology

  16. Sweden needs • Price differentials • Balancing and changes in generation portfolio (nuclear phase-out) • RES curtailment • Market integration • SOS – significant changes in generation portfolio • SOS - Residual load ramps Outcomes of the needs methodology Needs identified by the Member State

  17. Denmark – needs • Market integration • SOS – significant changes in generation portfolio • Price difference • RES curtailments • Internal bottlenecks Outcome of the needs methodology Needs identified by the Member State

  18. Poland needs • - SOS – significant changes in generation portfolio • - SOS: Adequacy • - SOS - Residual load ramps • Market integration • Changes in generation portfolio (decommissioning thermal power plants, diversification in generation with a higher RES penetration) • Adequacy, confirmed by the Mid-Term Adequacy Forecast 2018 • Challenge in meeting flexibility needs • Loop flows • Price differentials Outcomes of the needs methodology Needs identified by the Member State

  19. Germany needs • Market integration • SOS – significant changes in generation portfolio • RES curtailments • SOS – Residual load ramps • Price differentials • SOS – significant changes in generation portfolio • RES curtailments • + Internal bottlenecks Outcome of the needs methodology Needs identified by the Member State

  20. Estonia needs • Synchronisation • Market integration • SOS – significant changes in generation portfolio • Maintain SoS and reliable operation (related to the synchronization) • RES integration • Price differentials • Upcoming change in energy mix and increase in offshore RES Outcomes of the needs methodology Needs identified by the Member State

  21. Latvia needs • Maintain SoS and reliable operation (related to the synchronization) • Maintaining generation adequacy due to changes in generation portfolio • RES integration (wind energy in the Baltic Sea region) • Price differentials • Synchronisation • SOS – significant changes in generation portfolio Outcomes of the needs methodology Needs identified by the Member State

  22. Lithuania needs • Synchronisation • - Market integration • - SOS – significant changes in generation portfolio • Maintain SoS and reliable operation (related to the synchronization) • Import dependency • Changes in generation portfolio/ RES integration Outcomes of the needs methodology Needs identified by the Member State

  23. List of regional needs - BEMIP

  24. First insight in the PCI assessment methodology [Introductory presentation and discussion on the next step in the PCI process: methodology for the assessment of candidate PCI projects; update on the ongoing study on storage benefits (Navigant consultancy)]

  25. Principles

  26. PCI technical requirements -I

  27. PCI technical requirements -II

  28. Criteria for candidate PCIs – art. 4

  29. Criteria for candidate PCIs – art. 4

  30. Prioritization

  31. PCIs assessment steps 02 01 Analyse the candidate PCIs Develop Methodology 03 Prioritize the candidate PCIs

  32. Methodology development • end March’ 19: RGs members will receive the draft methodology for comments • End April/early May’ 19: considering the Rgs comments the EC [within the Cooperation Platform frame] will update the methodology and which will be circulated to the RGs -> final PCI assessment methodology

  33. Candidate projects -scrutiny • 11-12 April meeting: • Project promoters will present their projects and justify how their project satisfies the Regional needs, explain the project status and any delays in the project implementation • NRAs will present their point of view on all the candidate PCI project which are to be implemented in their respective MS. • Stakeholders: outcomes of the public consultation + direct participation in the meeting • EC: view on the projects situation (progress, delays)

  34. Reminder: Overview of roles & responsibilities

  35. Candidate projects - prioritization • First half of May’ 19 – application of the PCI assessment methodology. The resulting projects ranking will delivered only to the RGs members [in line with the TEN-E Regulation ] • Mid-May – RGs meetings to validate the draft regional lists

  36. Assessment methodology for the benefits of electricity storage projects for the PCI process

  37. Next steps

  38. Overall process – Next steps 11-12 April

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