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Concurrent Plan Updates?. Plan Update Requirements. Cost-Affordable Transportation Plan - 2040 Horizon Year Due December 2014 Hillsborough County Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal Due 2015 City of Tampa Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal Due 2016
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Plan Update Requirements • Cost-Affordable Transportation Plan - 2040 Horizon YearDue December 2014 • Hillsborough County Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal Due 2015 • City of Tampa Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal Due 2016 • Temple Terrace Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal Due 2016 • Plant City Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal Due 2016
Benefits of Concurrent Updates • Common horizon year is simpler for general public • Can use same data for all plans, saving costs • Can partner on public outreach & input efforts • Can address issues in a more comprehensive manner – • Greater coordination between land use and transportation • Countywide approach to some major issues • Don’t have to reinvent the wheel for approaches to: • Streamlining the Comprehensive Plans • Addressing changes in state law
Policy Questions & Uncertainties • Urban Service Area • Expansion needed by 2040? If so, where? • Transportation Funding • Declining real value of gas tax, declining federal & state support • Local options? • Economic Vitality • How to support key sectors: Land use policies? Transportation investments? • External Factors • Demographic shifts – aging; minority-majority; domestic migration… • Technological shifts – virtual interactions; alternative fuels… • Environmental shifts – climate; water supply; emergency preparedness… • Financial shifts – access to capital markets; international consortia for infrastructure design/build/operate/maintain/finance ….
Scenario Planning Process (Typical) • Identify scope, timeline, partners, stakeholders • Identify baseline trends • Community values, future goals & aspirations • Create baseline and alternative scenarios • Assess scenario impacts, influences, & effects • Craft a vision • Identify strategic actions & performance measures
Potential for Value-Added • How do the One Bay Vision’s broad goals play out on the ground in Hillsborough County? • What additional local government policies are appropriate (if any)? • What transportation investments are needed, and how do we pay for them? • How has the world changed since the creation of the One Bay Vision?
Mid-Coast Maine: Identifying Issues • Brainstorming & grouping types of uncertainties to create scenarios for exploration
Gwinnett County, GA: Three “Stories” about Land Use & Transportation • “Regional Slowdown” Scenario • “Middle of the Pack” Scenario (most likely future without intervention) • “International Gateway” Scenario
Timing • 2012 • Identify process, scope, timeline, partners • Issues identification for scenarios • 2013 • Craft scenarios • Assess effects of each • Public participation & outreach on scenarios • 2014 • Review comprehensive plan policies and maps • Detail transportation investment strategies • Public participation & outreach on proposed comprehensive plan polices and cost-affordable transportation plan
Next Steps • What are you looking for in the Plan Updates? • Designate a Coordinator for each jurisdiction • Regular Meetings?