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Legislative Interns. Dr. James R. Ramsey. January 27, 2011. “Short” Session. Non budget but Medicaid issue Governor’s suggestion General Assembly suggestion Which brings us to Passport. Other Leaks in the Bucket. Corrections expenditures Public employee benefits
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Legislative Interns Dr. James R. Ramsey January 27, 2011
“Short” Session • Non budget but Medicaid issue • Governor’s suggestion • General Assembly suggestion • Which brings us to Passport
Other Leaks in the Bucket • Corrections expenditures • Public employee benefits These are expenditure problems which in combination with economic/revenue problems create our state budget problems
US GDP Endured worsteconomic downturn since WWII * Lowest level during the current recession. The next two quarters (2009:III and IV) have been positive. Sources: NBER, BEA, and BLS.
National Non Agricultural Employment(in 000s) Economy coming back, but job growth will be slow
Kentucky Non Agricultural Employment(in 000s) See any public policy issues here?
Kentucky Manufacturing Employment(in 000s) Structural not Cyclical
Implications • Jobs income individual income tax/sales taxes nearly 80% of state general fund • 11 budget cuts – 11 years
So an election year – a short session – lack of political will – will much happen?
University of Louisville Strategy • Play defense • Set stage for 2012