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Energy Policy PA 395 May 27, 2004 Gary Flomenhoft uvm/~gflomenh/ENRG-POL-PA395/

Energy Policy PA 395 May 27, 2004 Gary Flomenhoft http://www.uvm.edu/~gflomenh/ENRG-POL-PA395/. Course Goals. Governance: International US Vermont Fri, June 11: Attend Vermont VELCO Hearing.

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Energy Policy PA 395 May 27, 2004 Gary Flomenhoft uvm/~gflomenh/ENRG-POL-PA395/

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  1. Energy Policy PA 395 May 27, 2004 Gary Flomenhoft http://www.uvm.edu/~gflomenh/ENRG-POL-PA395/

  2. Course Goals • Governance: • International • US • Vermont • Fri, June 11: • Attend Vermont VELCO Hearing

  3. “There is nothing more difficult to carry out, more doubtful of success, nor more dangerous to handle, than to initiate a new order of things. For those who would institute change have enemies in all those who profit by the old order, and they have only lukewarm defenders in all those who would profit by the new order.” Nicolo Machiavelli, 1490

  4. Climate ChangeSummary of Facts

  5. 2 Billion Years of Temperature History

  6. 300 Million yrs of CO2

  7. 60 Million yrs of CO2

  8. Summary of Units K=Kilo=thousand=103 M=Mega=million=106 G=Giga=Billion=109 T=Tera=Trillion=1012 Quad=Quadrillion=1015 Exa=1018

  9. Relevant units: BTU= Unit of energy needed to raise one pound of water by one degree fahrenheit=1005J =778ft-lb=252cal Joule=. 0.001 BTU Watts=VxA=1 Joule/second Watt-hour=one Watt for one hour Quad=Quadrillion (1015) BTU

  10. The Carbon Question Metric tons per GWhe

  11. Composition of U.S. Energy Use 100 75 coal wood Percent of total energy use oil 50 gas 25 animal feed electricity 0 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000

  12. GDP 1825: ~$200 BILLION 2000: $41,000 B ILLION OR $41 TRILLION =205X 1825 level.

  13. Work Done in the U.S. Economy, 1850-1970 Labor Fuel Domesticated Animals

  14. Stabilization Targets Greenhouse gas emission scenarios

  15. How much will the Kyoto Protocol reduce emissions? Data Sources: United States Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, International Energy Outlook, 1998 and 1999.

  16. Cumulative carbon emissions, 1950-1996 Data Source: Marland et al, 1999. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center.

  17. Per capita emissions of carbon from industrial sources, 1996 Data Source: Marland et al, 1999. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center.

  18. SINK-CLIMATE CHANGE Arctic Ice thinned by 40%: US subs

  19. CLIMATE DAMAGE

  20. CLIMATE DAMAGE

  21. CLIMATE DAMAGE

  22. CLIMATE DAMAGE

  23. Europe in August 2003

  24. Ocean Conveyor Belt-(Thermohaline)

  25. Methane-hydrates

  26. "Kyoto and its policies are inconsistent with freedom, prosperity and environmental policy progress," said Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla., the Chairman of the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works. "I’m becoming more and more convinced, as time goes by and we look at the research, that global warming is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people and the world." MSNBC News Link 12/10/03

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