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METHODOLOGICAL CONSTRAINS AND NEED IN THE AREA OF V&A ASSESSMENT IN THE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGION

METHODOLOGICAL CONSTRAINS AND NEED IN THE AREA OF V&A ASSESSMENT IN THE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGION. UNFCCC WORKSHOP ON METHODOLOGIES ON CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND ADAPTATION /  UNDP-GEF WORKSHOP FOR DEVELOPING AN ADAPTATION POLICY FRAMEWORK MONTREAL. CANADA JUNE 11-14, 2001.

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METHODOLOGICAL CONSTRAINS AND NEED IN THE AREA OF V&A ASSESSMENT IN THE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGION

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  1. METHODOLOGICAL CONSTRAINS AND NEED IN THE AREA OF V&A ASSESSMENT IN THE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGION UNFCCC WORKSHOP ON METHODOLOGIES ON CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND ADAPTATION /  UNDP-GEF WORKSHOP FOR DEVELOPING AN ADAPTATION POLICY FRAMEWORK MONTREAL. CANADA JUNE 11-14, 2001 Emilio SemprisCATHALACNPCC-ANAMRep. of Panamaesempris@cathalac.org

  2. THE CENTRAL AMERICANREGION

  3. CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ADVERSE IMPACTS

  4. INSTITUTIONAL ARRAGEMENT WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE UNFCCC

  5. FINDINGS OF FIRST GENERATION V&A ASSESSMENTS ? (1) • The Region, as a whole, is not adapted to current climate. • Diferentiated vulnerarability to CC adverse impacts at the national and regional level, and within the region, there are populations with greatest risk to be impacted, those coincide with the areas where there is greatest geo-ecosystem, socioeconomic deterioration. • Obsolete Met. and Stats Offices

  6. FINDINGS OF FIRST GENERATION V&A ASSESSMENTS ? (2) • There exists problems to idenfy vulnerable regions and population at risk. • There are great uncertainties attached to the results of the assessment due to the avaliability and quality of climate system data. • There is a research need in terms of V&A integrated assessment. • Political willingness & stability issues that makes the region even more vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change.

  7. WHAT IS NEEDED ? (1) • Standardization of climate change science ( e.i., Methodologies and benkmarks to select vulnerable region and populations at risk). • Improvement of climate system data (not only T & P). • Shorter term integrated impact assessments and adaptation options should be developed. • Improvement in risk communication capacity. • Establishment formal models for assessing uncertainties.

  8. KEY ISSUES FOR THE NEXT GENERATION OF V&A ASSESSMENTS (1) • proactive vs reactive adaptation responses The second generation methodologies should not look so hard into the future, so they do not fall too behind in the present • Stakeholders participation • V&A integrated assessment • Costing impacts • Insurance • Funding

  9. ANTHROPIC CAUSES WATER WITHOUT SANITARY THREATMENT NON ORGANIC CONTAMINANTS ORGANIC CONTAMINANTS VECTORS BREEDING SITES (2) (5) (2) (5) (1) (5) Waste waters, excreta in rivers, streams, ground waters, impoundments, Panama Bay. Artificial impoundments, ponds, reservoirs H2O FLOODS DROUGHTS STORMS (3) (3) (3) (4) Indirect effects by absence Direct harmful effects NATURAL CAUSES REGIONAL IMPACTS ON QUANTITY AND QUALITY OF WATER RESOURCES ANTROPHOGENIC CAUSES ? Water without sanitation treatment Non-organic contaminants Organic contaminant Vector breading sites Artificial impoundment Waste waters, pollution in rivers, etc. WATER RESOURCES Droughts Storms & Hurricanes FLOODS Direct harmful effects Indirect effects CLIMATE RELATED CAUSES ?

  10. REGIONAL STAKEHOLDERS FOR WATER RESOURCES SECTOR IN THE REGION WATER RESOURCES IMWR IRRIGATION AQUACULTURE NAVIGATION RECREATION TOURISM SUPPLY AND SANITATION HYDROPOWER

  11. KEY ISSUES FOR THE NEXT GENERATION OF V&A ASSESSMENTS (2) • Costing impacts • Insurance • Funding

  12. METHODOLOGICAL CONSTRAINS AND NEEDS IN THE AREA OF V&A ASSESSMENT IN THE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGION UNFCCC WORKSHOP ON METHODOLOGIES ON CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND ADAPTATION /  UNDP-GEF WORKSHOP FOR DEVELOPING AN ADAPTATION POLICY FRAMEWORK MONTREAL. CANADA JUNE 11-14, 2001 Emilio SemprisCATHALACNPCC-ANAMRep. of Panamaesempris@cathalac.org

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