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Scotland’s labour market and Work Programme. Dave Simmonds OBE Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion. Scotland’s employment. Above UK at 72.4% Recovered half 4.8 point fall from 2008 Still 2.2 points below 2008 UK 1.4 points below 2008. Scotland’s unemployment. Below UK at 7.4%
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Scotland’s labour market and Work Programme Dave Simmonds OBE Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion
Scotland’s employment • Above UK at 72.4% • Recovered half 4.8 point fall from 2008 • Still 2.2 points below 2008 • UK 1.4 points below 2008
Scotland’s unemployment • Below UK at 7.4% • Recovered less than one-third of 4.9 point rise from 2008 • Still 3.5 points above 2008 • UK 2.5 points above 2008
Scotland’s JSA claimants • Falling, despite reform moving more into JSA • 2,500 more lone parents on JSA • IB reassessment – up to 20,000 more • Smaller % of unemployed are claiming
Scotland’s ESA/IB claimants • Falling slowly – 11,000 (3.9%) down from Nov 2011 • IB reassessment – more than 20,000 Scots ‘Fit for Work’ • WRAG has reached 22% of total
Scotland’s Work Programme performance (to March 2013) • Estimated 8% of Scotland’s working age population will go through WP by 2016 • More if excluding inactive population and much more in some areas • New figures 26th Sept • Show average Job Outcome Percentage for programme to date • Shows impact of only counting jobs when paid work is sustained (for 6 or 3 months)
Work Programme performance – 12 months on programme (new DWP Measure)
The local economy matters ABERDEEN GLASGOW DUMFRIES & GALLOWAY DUNDEE
Challenges • More jobs needed to get back to pre-recession • Employability and skills framework to support all unemployed not just claimants? • Role of Work Programme – important but not the only support • Importance of health – across WP not just ESA • Learning what is working in high performance areas