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Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) 2009 Update Transition from Research to Operations

Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) 2009 Update Transition from Research to Operations. Jiann-Gwo Jiing Chief, Technical Support Branch, NHC JHT Director. Chris Landsea NHC. Shirley Murillo NOAA/HRD. 63 rd Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference St. Petersburg, FL March 5, 2009. Outline.

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Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) 2009 Update Transition from Research to Operations

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  1. Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT)2009 UpdateTransition from Research to Operations Jiann-Gwo JiingChief, Technical Support Branch, NHCJHT Director Chris Landsea NHC Shirley Murillo NOAA/HRD 63rd Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference St. Petersburg, FL March 5, 2009

  2. Outline • Summary of JHT projects 2001-2008 • Major 2008-2009 activities at JHT & NHC • Challenges ahead

  3. Summary of JHT projects 2001-2008 • 1) Number of projects supported: 50 • 41 completed, 30 accepted for operational implementation • Number of projects rejected: 5 • Number of projects completed but pending further investigation (decisions deferred): 5 • Number of projects in process: 9 • 2) Implementation • Number of projects implemented: 26.5 • Number of numerical modeling related projects implemented by EMC/NCO: 10 • Number of projects implemented by NHC: 16.5 • Number of projects accepted but not yet fully implemented by NHC: 3.5 Note: • 1) Implementation is defined when a project is completed, accepted, and the technique installed on NCEP/NCO or NHC operational systems and runs on operational time frame. • Some techniques were “implemented” on JHT platform for testing.

  4. 2008-present Major Activities • Completion of 15 third round (2005-2007) projects • Completed in August 2007 • Final evaluation (NHC/EMC POCs & JHT) • September-December 2007 • Decision on acceptance for implementation (NHC and EMC Directors) • Decisions made January 2008 • 4 criteria for acceptance • 12 projects accepted • 3 projects deferred pending further evaluation • Implementaton • 11 implemented: 4 by EMC/NCO & 7 by NHC

  5. Cont. 2008-present Major Activities Factors Considered in Decisions on Acceptance/Operational Implementation • Forecast or Analysis Benefit: expected improvement in operational forecast and/or analysis accuracy • Efficiency: adherence to forecaster time constraints and ease of use needs • Compatibility: IT compatibility with operational hardware, software, data, communications, etc. • Sustainability: availability of resources to operate, upgrade, and/or provide support

  6. Cont. 2008-present Major Activities Implementation (NHC) • Some relative easy • Some very complicated • NHC contributes ≥ 0.5 FTE/yr on implementation • JHT IT facilitator assists in the process • NCEP/EMC and NCO also contributed Operational Centers are not funded for this task

  7. Highlights of 3rd Round Implemented Projects VORTRAC – Lee/Bell/Harasti Topographic Wind Effects - Miller OLD GFDL (2) NEW GFDL (4) OLD GFS (1) NEW GFS (3) GFDL – Bender HWRF – Tuleya, Powell

  8. Highlights of 3rd Round Implemented Projects Inclusion of Dropsonde Moisture into GFS – Aberson/Dunion Revised SHIPS intensity forecast scheme – DeMaria/Knaff Corrected Consensus Track Forecasts - Goerss Wind Radii Decay Model - Kaplan

  9. Highlights of 3rd Round Implemented Projects Improvements to ATCF operating system - Sampson Enhancements to Wind Probability Products – Knaff/DeMaria Wind Radii Decay Model - Kaplan SFMR - Carswell/Black

  10. Cont. 2008-present Major Activities • Second year funding renewal for 4th round projects – April - June 2008 • Testing of 4th round projects • Collaboration with PI • Programming • Establishing data flow • Generating output for forecaster use/evaluation

  11. B2: Model development/improvements B3: Physical processes in models on track, intensity and structure, and precipitation B6: Advanced, probabilistic guidance; optimal ensemble construction and configuration; C1: Observing strategies/capabilities C2: Observations to support model diagnostics and verification C3: New and/or improved observational technologies

  12. Cont. 2008-present Major Activities • Preparation for 5th round projects • Draft Federal Funding Opportunity (FFO) (March 08) • Centers priorities • Evaluation criteria • FFO published early July • SC Review of Pre-applications (September) • PIs submitting full proposals (Oct 30) • SC Review of full proposals (completed)

  13. Challenges for 2009 • Fifth round funding processes • Rank and select proposals for funding (completed) • Work with Grants Office to fund selected projects • Find Point of contacts among NHC forecasters and support staff • Work with PIs to setup timelines for their projects • Test and evaluation (with NHC & EMC) • Prepare real-time testing & evaluation for 5th round projects • Set up necessary software code and data flow. • Completion of 4th round projects • Final reports for 4th round projects • POC feedback • JHT final review/reports to NHC Director • Implement newly accepted projects (TPC)

  14. Acknowledgements • JHT Steering Committee • Shirley Murillo, JHT Admin. Asst. • Chris Landsea, JHT Admin. Asst. • Jose Salazar, JHT meteorologist/programmer • NHC and EMC forecaster and points of contact • NHC/Technical Support Branch staff • JHT principal investigators and other funded participants • John Gaynor (USWRP) • NHC admin staff

  15. JHT Website Go to www.nhc.noaa.gov

  16. Thank you

  17. Supplemental Slides

  18. 4th Round (FY07-08) Recommended Funding DistributionTotal $1.04M ($1.5M announced) State and Private Universities 33% NOAA 20% (39%) (36%) NASA 12% (0%) Navy (NPS, NRL) 11% Private Companies 24% (16%) (9%)

  19. NHC Contributions to JHT Logistics • Dedicated physical space in operations, offices Personnel • NHC dedicating about 1.5 FTE spread across ~12 people • 0.5 FTE reimbursed by USWRP for quarter-time JHT Director and one quarter-time JHT administrative assistant • NHC contributing 1.0 FTE, including NHC member on JHT Steering Committee, forecasters, and technical support staff • Forecaster and technical points of contact (POC) • Programming, system administration, and network support • Administrative support Computing Resources • Network connectivity • Operational data flow

  20. JHT Infrastructure Personnel • Quarter-time Director (NOAA FTE) • 7-member Steering Committee • Three from NOAA (one TPC), two from DOD, and two from the academic community • TPC member serves as co-Chair • Two quarter-time administrative assistants (NOAA FTE) • One IT Facilitator (meteorologist/programmer) Computing Resources • Server and workstations • Software

  21. Cont. 2008-present Major Activities4th Round Project Focus Areas

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