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Energy Policies and Strategies of Turkey

Energy Policies and Strategies of Turkey. Bora Şekip GÜRAY General Directorate of Energy Affairs Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources TURKEY Switzerland-Turkey Economic Forum 05 .11 .2009 İstanbul. Energy Balance of TURKEY - 1. 1990-2007 : 4.2 % increase p.a.

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Energy Policies and Strategies of Turkey

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  1. Energy Policies and Strategies of Turkey Bora Şekip GÜRAY General Directorate of Energy Affairs Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources TURKEY Switzerland-Turkey Economic Forum 05 .11 .2009 İstanbul

  2. EnergyBalance of TURKEY - 1 1990-2007 : 4.2 % increase p.a. BalanceChart is foryear 2007. 1990-2007 : 4.2 % increase p.a.

  3. EnergyBalance of TURKEY-2 BalanceChart is foryear 2007.

  4. EnergyBalance of TURKEY-3 “ComparativeFigures in EnergySupply” TPES by sources OECD Statistics,

  5. EnergyDemand vs. EconomicGrowth“EnergyEfficiencyPerformanceandtheStructuralEconomicalIssues“ GR 5 Bora Şekip GÜRAY 2009 RU

  6. ElectricityandNaturalGasSectors “Significantgrowth in consumption” OECD Statistics

  7. EnergyDemand vs. EconomicGrowth“IncomeElasticity of ElectricityDemand” Turkey 2005 2020 representing European Countries 7 Bora Şekip GÜRAY 2009

  8. DemandforPrimaryEnergy“ReferenceScenario : 110 % increaseuntil 2020” *The projections are being revised to reflect the slowing effect of the global economic conditions

  9. ImportDependency mtoe

  10. Development of Electricity Generation Mix “Import fuel dependency as a concern?” Other Renewables Hydro Natural Gas Liquid fuels Lignite Hard coal

  11. EnergySector“MainCharacteristics” • Rapid growth in demand : • investment challenges and opportunities • the role for competitive markets • High level of import dependency: • further role for development of indigeneous resources, in particular the renewables, and diversification • Relatively high figures for energy intensity : • potential for improvement of energy efficiency (but also linked to the structural issues related to economy)

  12. Strategies in theEnergySector“ 3E Principle”

  13. Strategies in theEnergySector“MajorAspects” • Exploration and production activities • Further diversification in primary energy supply, in terms of energy sources, imports, technologies and infrastructures • Development of renewables and introduction of nuclear power • Competition oriented market structures in electricity, natural gas and petroleum sectors • Energy efficiency along the supply-demand chain • Mitigation of GHG emissions from the energy sector • Energy technologies • Oil and gas pipelines (domestic and cross-border) & electricity interconnections

  14. MajorPolicyDevelopments“LegislativeFramework” • 2001 • Electricity Market Law (No:4628) • NaturalGas Market Law (No:4646) • 2003 • Petroleum Market Law (No:5015) • 2004 • StrategyPaper as RoadMap of theElectricity Market Reform & Transition • 2005 • LPG Market Law (No: 5307) • 2005 • Law on Utilization of Renewables in ElectricityGeneration • 2007 • EnergyEfficiencyLaw (No:5627) • AmendmentstotheLaw on Utilization of Renewables in ElectricityGeneration • 2007 • GeothermalLaw (No:5686) • 2007 • NuclearInvestmentsLaw (No:5710) • 2008 • SignificantAmendmentstotheElectricity Market Law (No:5784) • 2009 • StrategyPaper on Electricity Market Reform, & Security of Supply -- DraftAmendmentstotheLaw on Utilization of Renewables in ElectricityGeneration

  15. Energy Market “ObjectivesandPrinciples” • a financially viable, stable and transparent  energy market, which functions as per the provisions of private law and within a competitive environment. • independent regulation and supervision of the market in order to provide sufficient energy of good quality to consumers, at low cost and in a reliable and sustainable manner. • physical integration with the EU internal energy market • Harmonization with the EU Acquis on energy

  16. Electricity Market & Security of Supply Strategy Paper (1) “Main Objectives” • Security of Supplyas themainconcern • Market designand a road-mapforimplementationconcerning • thenewbalancingandsettlementregime • dayahead market • capacitymechanisms • optionaltenderingmechanisms • Program fordistributionandgenerationprivatisation • Distribution  almostcompletedbytheend of 2010 • Generation  commencement in 2009 • Targetsfortheelectricitygenerationmixby 2023 • Interconnections 16

  17. Electricity Market & Security of Supply Strategy Paper (2) CurrentSituation Stage 1 Stage 2 • Day Ahead Market • Balancing Power Market • Hourly Settlement • Balancing Mechanism • Monthly 3 Periods Settlement • Day Ahead Planning • Balancing Power Market • Hourly Settlement “Market Design and Implementation Stages” • Start of Cash Settlement • Balancing & Settlement • Regulation •  01.08.2006 • Currently virtual operation • Actual operation by 2010 • Start of operation •  2010 17

  18. Electricity Market & Security of Supply Strategy Paper (3) • “Targetsfortheelectricitygenerationmixby 2023” • renewables in electricitygeneration at least %30 • windinstalledcapacity 20.000 MW • introduction of nuclearpower at least %5 • utilization of theremaininghydroandlignitereserves 18

  19. WIND SPEED DISTRIBUTION 100 m. Wind Atlas by EiE 19

  20. SUITABLE LOCATIONS FOR SOLAR THERMAL PLANTS Solar Atlas by EiE 20

  21. Prospects for Wind and Solar Power Development “What are the key issues ?” Smooth integration of wind and solar driven capacity to the electricity grid to avoid negative effects of intermittence Continuous monitoring and evaluation of incentive mechanisms to ensure rapid and cost-effective penetration of wind and solar capacity into the electricity system Deployment and development of the wind and solar technologies suitable to country specific conditions 21

  22. Energy & ClimateChange“AlternativeScenarios vs. ReferenceScenario” Gt of CO2-eq 22 OECD World Energy Outlook 2008

  23. Prospects for Turkish Electricity Generation Mix”“Further Diversification : enhanced energy security and lower carbon intensity ” Oil Products Nuclear Geothermal Solar Wind Natural Gas Hydro Imported Hard Coal Domestic Hard Coal Projections for Installed Capacity Estimated based on recently adopted “Electricity Strategy Paper”

  24. InterconnectionwithUCTE“TowardsPhysicalIntegration of TurkishElectricity Market withthat of the EU” Technicalstudiesapprovedby UCTE in April 2007. Ongoingstudiesfor “Improvement of FrequencyControlPerformance”

  25. Energy Policies and Strategies of Turkey Bora Şekip GÜRAY General Directorate of Energy Affairs Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources TURKEY Switzerland-Turkey Economic Forum 05 .11 .2009 İstanbul

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