CIFE Industry Advisory Board 2011 Wednesday afternoon CIFE review

1. CIFE Industry Advisory Board 2011 Wednesday afternoon CIFE review

2. CIFE Industry Advisory Board Meeting Agenda Wednesday, October 12th 3:30 PMReview of Recent CIFE Work 6:00 PM Informal (no-host) Dinner at a local restaurant Thursday, October 13th 8:00 AM Continental Breakfast 8:30 AM Welcome – Martin Fischer 9:00 AM Leadership in VDC (Virtual Design & Construction) Carl Bass (Autodesk), Eric Lamb (DPR), Charles Matta (US General Services Administration.) 10:30 AM Discussions about Leadership – all members 11:15 AM Break 11:35 AM CIFE Initiatives: professional development to "cross the chasm"; sustainability – Martin Fischer & John Kunz 12:05 PM Working Lunch: identify specific initiatives and skills to enable an "early majority" of VDC practitioners 1:15 PM CIFE Overview and Status from past year - John Kunz 1:45 PM Summary of current top initiatives at member organizations and opportunities for synergy – all members 2:45 PM Break 3:05 PM Breakout Sessions: Next Steps in collaborative initiatives - all members 4:05 PM Discussion - all members 5:00 PM Social Hour and Poster Session of CIFE work 6:00 PM Meeting ends

3. Wednesday afternoon CIFE review • Overview of CIFE research and methods • Case examples • Design Optimization (MDO) for Daylighting Simulation using Artificial Intelligence, Distributed Computing, and Uncertainty: work of John Basbagill, Ben Welle and Forest Flager • Scheduling optimization: work of Tony Dong and Rene Morkos • A Metric-Based Framework to Guide Management: work of Wendy Li • Certificate Program case examples: John Kunz • Our method is informal; please comment and ask questions!

4. Reports from CIFE Summer Program:Wake Up! The Revolution Has Arrived: A Report From CIFE (ENR) Designers/engineers: • 30% reduction in project schedule (GPLA) • 33% cost reduction (Sera) • 328x increase in number of design versions (Arup) • 99.99% reduction in design cycle time (Beck) Design-Builders: • 48% reduction in man hours (Beck) • 30% reduction in cost (NCC) • >99% reduction in design batch size (GT) • 85% reduction in effort to track supply chains (Optima)  Builders: • 95% reduction in field rework (DPR) • 20% improvement in field productivity (DPR) • 0% reduction in scope (DPR)

5. Our challenge: Find new chasmYour challenge: “Crossing the chasm” • Early innovator adopters now embrace VDC in all CIFE member organizations and in wide practice • Challenge: cross the “chasm” and engage early majority • Internally in CIFE organizations – hundreds • Externally in their value chains – thousands Reference: Geoffrey Moore in Crossing the Chasm (1991, revised 1999) # new users time http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crossing_the_Chasm_%28book%29

6. Design Optimization (MDO) for Daylighting Simulation using Artificial Intelligence, Distributed Computing, and Uncertainty: • John Basbagill • Big idea: The innovative Life cycle assessment (LCA) method applies LCA specifically during the early design stages, allowing designers to understand the relative environmental impact importance of various building design decisions. Optimization algorithms generalize the method across a range of building shapes. An impact allocation scheme shows the distribution of impacts among building elements, and an impact reduction scheme shows which material and size decisions consistently achieve the greatest impact reductions. The method assists building design by highlighting early stage decisions that frequently achieve the significant reductions in carbon footprint.

7. Scheduling optimization: • work of Tony Dong and Rene Morkos • Big idea:

8. Predicting Client Satisfaction based on Dynamic Performance Feedback:A Metric-Based Framework to Guide Management • Wendy Li • Big idea: Quantitative metrics can provide highly visible feedback to the project team about its project performance that in turn can help the team to manage its work better to achieve high client objectives.

9. Metrics project Objectives – work of Wendy Li • Evaluate project performance • objectively using metrics • subjectively using in-depth interviews • Understand the value of Integrated Project Delivery (IPD) and VDC methods • Establish a benchmark for future projects

10. Performance Metrics Overview - Categories • Quality – issues resolution, reliable promising, precon planning • Cost – estimates, contract directives, incentive program • Schedule – schedule conformance, constraints, JIT, rework • Organization – meetings, IPD concepts, leadership, satisfaction • Innovation – SPS, BIM, Big Room

11. Predicting Client Satisfaction based on Dynamic Performance Feedback:A Metric-Based Framework to Guide Management • Wendy Li • Big idea: Quantitative metrics can provide highly visible feedback to the project team about its project performance that in turn can help the team to manage its work better to achieve high client objectives.

12. VDC Certificate Program • John Kunz and Martin Fischer • Big ideas: The VDC certificate program is the single most effective CIFE initiative in helping member organizations to get high value from adoption of VDC methods. It provides professional education to enable participants to: • Understand basic theory and practice of VDC; • Develop awareness of trends, potential results and issues in using VDC; • Develop specific skills in collaborative use of VDC methods. Photo courtesy DPR

13. VDC Certificate Program: 9/2011 – 9/2012 Multiple programs at multiple venues with multiple participants and companies … about our capacity

14. Demographics of CP graduates’ projects

15. All participants now set objectives and measure and assess process performance wrt objectives

16. Status of the VDC adoption chasm: Many tasks use BIM in multiple projects with varying success

17. Participants tracked a wide variety of process performance metrics

18. CP participants’ use of metrics • They all use them! • Many report that they have value • Insightful qualitative value from monthly report comments • Improvements over time: • 2008 > 2009: understanding ‘metrics’ • 2009 > 2010: define objectives • 2010 > 2012: graphical reporting • Many did not identify appropriate metrics (vs. deliverables, tasks ‘getting usable 3D model for glass roof construction planning’ • Frequency of tracking randomly identified and not followed through • Frequent comment: did not know how to establish measurable objectives (improved > 2010)

19. Most CP graduates use multiple VDC methods • Example methods used one participant:

20. Example summary of personal work to date:Participants have multiple roles and activities

21. Example of methods by one CP graduate

22. Many lessons learned

23. Generally high level of satisfaction

24. CIFE Industry Advisory Board 2012

25. Meeting goals Discuss: • Translation: Share (inspiring) experiences, implications • Plans: Identify • Individual goals for outcomes, process, actions • Shared objectives • Commitment and focus: translational work to find “next chasms” • Initiatives: Based on our individual work, identify candidate joint initiatives  CIFE 2012 focus • Old business • Your work • CIFE status Desired outcome: guidance for CIFE community • Participants better understand translation practice and potential • Identify CIFE foci for breakthrough research and sustaining VDC-related work

26. Focus for 2013 and beyond:Check your desired activities with the CIFE community in next 2 years

27. CIFE Industry Advisory Board Meeting

28. Thursday morningTranslating CIFE research into practice 9:00 – 11:15 am

29. Translation forum Focus: translation -- the (often iterative) process where • Members and CIFE  work jointly to define problems; • CIFE researchers develop innovative new methods to address the problems; • Members move the new research results into practice. • We move results to education

30. Translation forum Speakers • Eric Lamb, DPR • Stewart Carroll (Beck) • Zuhair Haddad (CCC)

31. CIFE initiatives: prefabrication; many design options; professional development 11:35 – 12:00 pm

32. Provides fixed physical assets and wealth High global demand for infrastructure and housing Opportunity to impact global climate challenge significantly Plus-Delta of Civil Engineering

33. Provides fixed physical assets and wealth High global demand for infrastructure and housing Opportunity to impact global climate challenge significantly Low productivity  compete with other ways to spend $ High energy use and rising energy costs Structural reliability << societal need (Chile) Plus-Delta of Civil Engineering 1 1. US Department of Commerce, compiled by P. Teicholz 2. Persson, Sustainable City of Tomorrow: B01—Experiences of a Swedish Housing exposition (Swedish Research Council, Distributed by Coronet Books Stockholm, 2005), pp. 108 – 109. 2 Guilllermo Gomez, PUChile

34. Fundamental issue: outcome reliability • Structures (Chile, post-earthquake) -- good: • ~500K/~5M homes damaged or destroyed: <2σ • ~4 joint failures /~100 in (collapsed) buildings: 2σ • 4/~10,000 post-1985 buildings collapsed in major damage area: >3σ •  Energy – not good: • 20/20 buildings used more energy than predicted – Malmo, Sweden, 2001 (range 70 – 340% greater) • 121 LEED buildings use 30% more energy per square foot than average for U.S. buildings • Neither structure nor energy performance meets societal needs

35. The CIFE mission to be the world's premier academic research center for Virtual Design and Construction of Architecture - Engineering - Construction (AEC) industry projects. Virtual Design and Construction (VDC) is the use of multi-disciplinary performance models of design-construction projects, including the Product (i.e., facilities), Organization of the design - construction - operation team and Work Processes in order to support business objectives

36. The CIFE mission to be the world's premier academic research center for Virtual Design and Construction of Architecture - Engineering - Construction (AEC) industry projects. Virtual Design and Construction (VDC) is the use of multi-disciplinary performance models of design-construction projects, including the Product (i.e., facilities), Organization of the design - construction - operation team and Work Processes in order to support business objectives … … to support exceptionally reliable engineering and management processes to plan, design, construct and operate sustainable facilities

37. Is there any other option? • For our research • For you … to support exceptionally reliable engineering and management processes to plan, design, construct and operate sustainable facilities

38. (Multiple) Predictable performance objectives: *Changed in 2010

39. Translational research at CIFE • Goal: Measurably contribute to exceptionally reliable engineering and management processes to design, construct and operate sustainable facilities • Method – “translation” to integrate:

40. Summary of CIFE role • CIFE translational research gives practitioners the opportunity to identify, explore, develop and apply new methods that have great potential value … with low risk and (relatively) low cost

41. CIFE Vision • We and our members develop, learn and apply VDC principles and methods to help projects deliver exceptional value and help member organizations achieve breakthrough objectives

42. Suggestions for members • Focus VDC implementation on deep and broad impact • Deep: apply VDC modeling, analysis (>= 5 analyses/BIM), collaboration (ICE) and metrics (at least weekly) • Broad – (with corporate leadership and budget) provide: • Corporate suite of modeling, analysis tools • (Global + regional) VDC steering groups + Wiki to share methods and lessons • Modeling & analysis methods and tools: PBS, OBS, WBS, CBS, data exchange methods, metrics collection and reporting, VDC training x >100/year • Set objectives; measure process & outcome status; integrate VDC with strategic business processes • Engage in specific collaborative translational activities

43. Major trends in next decade …. • Demographics: • Aging populations  ↑ hospitals • Global economic growth  ↑ middle class housing • Aging western infrastructure + ↑ wealth in emerging economies  ↑ infrastructure • Shaken economies  less building, call for measured performance • Changing world: • Global warming  ↑ sustainability (Structural, energy efficiency) • ↑ cost of oil  ↑ demand for energy efficiency • Globalization  Consolidation via acquisition, merger, partnership • Changing role of AEC: low-cost transactions  long-term partnerships w/guaranteed high level of performance • Technology and connectivity: • Computing and automated sensing and control very inexpensive • VDC on the job site and work face; stick build  manufacture, assemble • IM, chat, 3D, ICE natural for young staff

44.  CIFE initiatives:Recent results that support a 2015 objective • Generate and analyze many design options quickly

45. CIFE initiatives:Recent results that support a 2015 objective  • Schedule conformance (Certificate participant) • VDC project • No-VDC

46. CIFE initiatives:Recent results that support a 2015 objective  • VDC professional development: Certificate program • Participants: ~400 • Organizations: scores • Projects with >= 4 participants: ~10 • Graduates: 36 • Impacts: • Most participants now implement metrics and ICE • “Best thing we have done.”

47.  CIFE initiatives:Recent results that support a 2015 objective Managing facility modeled (BIM) scope • Problem: inconsistent BIM methods and results • Method: Create BIM management framework • Finding: • ↑ BIM value ← ↑ uses • Impacts: Consistent methods, more value

48.  CIFE initiatives:Recent results that support a 2015 objective • Latency (Certificate participant)

49. CIFE overview and status from past year 1:30 – 1:55 pm

50. CIFE MEMBERSHIPVisiting Fellows & Interns during 2010-11 • AkshayAdya (WDI) • Austin Becker (WDI) • Catherine Boubekeur (Glodon, MTR) • Anne-Laure Cuvilliez (Microsoft) • Ning “Tony” Dong (CCC) • Forest Flager (Beck) • Victor Gane (MTR) • Julian Gonsalves(MTR, GSA, Glodon) • Jinping Gou (MTR, GSA, Glodon) • Calvin Kam, (GSA) • Atul Khanzode (DPR) • Jung In Kim (MTR, GSA, Glodon) • Wendy Li (Skanska, WDI) • Liang Ma (WDI) • Rene Morkos (Slavenburg) • David Newell (WDI) • Adam Nizich (MTR) • Reid Senescu (Arup) • Min Song (MTR, GSA) • Christopher Stiedemann (WDI) • Richard Tsai (MTR, GSA, Glodon) • Meng Yu (MTR, GSA, Glodon) • Anthony Zara (MTR, GSA, Glodon) • Sangwoo Cho (DPR) Plus multiple summer interns Consulting Professor: Ben Schwegler (WDI)