Short – term statistics and seasonal adjustment in Azerbaijan Yusif Yusifov,

1. Short – term statistics and seasonal adjustment in Azerbaijan Yusif Yusifov, Head of division Industry, transport and communication statistics State Statistical Committee of the Republic of Azerbaijan yusify@azstat.org 24 Yanvar 2011

2. Assessment of needs • Priority of integration of official statistics of Azerbaijan to European standards • Increasing of demands of users on Business statistics • International organizations: UN, IMF and etc. • Government institutions • Other users: questionnaires, letters and etc. • Twinning projects of EC • State Program on improvement official statistics

3. Assessment of situation before 2010 • Not clear business statistics • Different approach of frame of BS • Different approach organization of surveys and collection of data • Nor covered all indicators on BS • Not coordination of BS and publication

4. Initials to building BS • Learning of regulations and recommendations of European Union • Support of Twinning project • Learning of experience of Bulgaria and Germany • Study visit and expert missions • Training on BS • Analyze of availability of indicators

5. Practical steps by statistics of Azerbaijan • Decisions of State Statistical Committee: • Improvement of questionnaires • Coordination of data • Publication of data • Creating of working group • Preparation of indicators system on BS (STS and SBS)

6. Classifications for BS • National Classification of Economic Activities • -NACE Rev.2andNACE Rev.1.1 • National Product Classification by activity • -CPA-2003 and CPA-2008 • Nomenclature of industrial production • - PRODCOM • Classification of regions of Azerbaijan • Register of statistical units

7. Short-term Business Statistics: frame by NACE • Industry – B to E (13 indicators) • Construction – F (14 indicators) • Retail trade and repair– G (3 indicators) • Market services -H to R (2 indicators)

8. Availability of STS indicators (1) By industry statistics – 13 indicators • 110 Production - • 120 Turnover • 121 Domestic turnover • 122 Non-domestic turnover • 130 New orders received • 131 Domestic new orders • 132 Non-domestic new orders • 210 Number of persons employed • 220 Hours worked • 230 Gross wages and salaries • 310 Output prices • 311 Output prices of the domestic market • 312 Output prices of the non-domestic market

9. Availability of STS indicators (2) By construction statistics – 14 indicators • 110 Production • 115 Production of building construction • 116 Production of civil engineering • 130 New orders received • 135 New orders received for building construction • 136 New orders received for civil engineering • 210 Number of persons employed • 220 Hours worked • 230 Gross wages and salaries • 320 Construction costs • 321 Material costs • 322 Labour costs • 411 Building permits: number of dwellings • 412 Building permits: square metres of useful floor area or alternative size measure

10. Availability of STS indicators (3) By retail trade and repair statistics – 3 indicators • 120 Turnover • 210 Number of persons employed • 330 Deflator of sales By market services statistics – 2 indicators • 120 Turnover • 210 Number of persons employed

11. Seasonal adjustment Carried out via X12 ARIMA • By Industry statistics - since 2009 • Trade statistics – since 2009 • Price statistics – since 2009 • Construction statistics – since 2010

12. Problems on STS and seasonal adjustment Short-term statistics • Integration (unification) of questionnaires • Different time for collecting data (turnover, labour) • Creating of metadata, quality management • Electron questionnaire • Seasonal adjustment • Not confidence on accuracy of data • Seasonal adjustment by NACE class and aggregation • Publication of data • Implementation DEMETRA

13. Thanks ! Questions?