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Can . AGRICULTURE. save the planet …. before it DESTROYS it?. Agriculture’s Footprint. Land. 7 0%. Fresh. Water. 40%. 3 0%. Agriculture + Deforestation. Greenhouse Gases. Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State. 9 billion. 2050. 8 billion.
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Can AGRICULTURE save the planet… before itDESTROYSit?
Agriculture’s Footprint Land 70% Fresh Water 40% 30% Agriculture + Deforestation Greenhouse Gases Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
9 billion 2050 8 billion 2030 7 billion 2010 5 1990 Global Population Growth Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
60% more food by 2050, using… Less land Less water Less fertilizer Fewer pesticides Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
We Need Technology Resources Per Bushel of Corn 1980 – 2011 40% Less Land 60% Less Erosion 50% Less Water 40% Less Energy 35% Less Greenhouse Gasses Source: USDA/ERS Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Global Status of GE Crops Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Why are farmers adopting biotech crops? Fewer Pesticides Improved Nutrition 443 million kg of active ingredients since 1996 (9% reduction) Improved Yields Less Soil Erosion 5% Increase in corn yields – U.S.24% Increase – Philippines Reduced tillage saves top soil 10% Increase in cotton yields – U.S.55% Increase – India Less Water Reduced Greenhouse Gases Low till and no till reduces evaporation 19.3 billion kg of carbon dioxide savings in 2010 Drought tolerance Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Competing World Views Slow Food Fast Food Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Different Choices OECD Projected Production Growth 2010 – 2019 < 4% EU 40% Brazil Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Tweet-ification The Of Risk… Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Old School Risk Hazard x Exposure = Risk Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Risk in Context Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Disruptive Technologies Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
New School Risk Hazard x Media Exposure = Perception of Risk Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Policymaker as Storyteller Personalize Acknowledge • Connect • Build Trust • Only then can we talk about the science Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Slow EU Biotech Approvals Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Trade Risk Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Trade Reality = = 1 barge 15 rail cars 50 large semis 1 Panamax Ship 38 barges = = 330 trillion soybeans Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Trade Wreck? Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Production Imports - 34.7% 5461% Production Imports - 43.9% 158% Does EU need biotech? If GE feed goes away… EU ag economy runs on cheap animal feed Pork Imports $15 billion in biotech animal feed each year Poultry Livestock production accounts for 40% of the total value of agricultural production DG Agri Report http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/envir/gmo/economic_impactGMOs_en.pdf Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Peak Oil Peak Child Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State
Jack A. Bobo, JD, MSChief, Biotechnology and Textile Trade Policy DivisionSenior Advisor for Biotechnology 202-647-1647boboja@state.gov Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State