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ON THE MOVE. Southern California Delivers the Goods. Comprehensive Regional Goods Movement Plan and Implementation Strategy. SCAG Comprehensive Regional Goods Movement Plan and Implementation Strategy . Project Tasks Task 1 : Administration and Management
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ON THE MOVE Southern California Delivers the Goods Comprehensive Regional Goods Movement Plan and Implementation Strategy Freight Coordination Meeting July 30, 2013 Annie Nam Manager of Goods Movement & Transportation Finance Southern California Association of Governments
SCAG Comprehensive Regional Goods Movement Plan and Implementation Strategy Project Tasks Task 1: Administration and Management Task 2: Refined Public Outreach Strategy Task 3: Evaluate and Recommend Improvements to the SCAG HDT Model Task 4: Truck Trip Data Collection and Analysis Task 5: Needs Assessment of Industrial/Warehouse and Intermodal Facilities Task 6: HDT Model Enhancement and Model Validation Task 7: Evaluation of the Goods Movement Element of the 2008 RTP Task 8: New Technology Alternatives for Line-Haul Freight Task 9: Recommendations for Enhancing the Regional Goods Movement System Task 10: Environmental Mitigation Plan Task 11: Financing and Implementation Plan Task 12: Final Report
Key Considerations for Plan Development • Need to better understand international versus domestic freight activities (including local distribution and service truck activities) • Ability to link secondary port trips to the warehousing analysis • Evaluate Regional Freight Corridor System for Clean Technology Truck lanes application • Including consideration for local truck usage • Need to understand market needs when analyzing alternative goods movement technology systems • Land use policy needs to be considered when evaluating warehousing projections and resulting truck traffic • Understand which industries benefit from improvements
HDT Model Enhancements & Data Program Internal Model • Trip Generation • Validate and re-estimate trip rates using Establishment Surveys and GPS data • Trip Distribution • Develop “trip purpose” by linking land uses in trip interchange networks • Estimate new gravity model parameters for each land use interchange • Used GPS data
HDT Model Enhancements & Data Program External Model • Trip Generation/Distribution • Replace ITMS commodity flow database with TRANSEARCH database Special Generator Model – Port model and the intermodal model • Update inputs for base year and forecast year to port Quick Trip model • Develop linkage between “primary” port trips and secondary port trips • Used Supply Chain/Shipper-receiver surveys and Warehouse Data • Conducted Port Terminal Gate Surveys to obtain OD pattern by truck type
Data Benefits Relative to Policy Needs • New data provided trip rates that were statistically valid, resulting in a robust internal truck trip generation model • A combination of the establishment surveys and GPS data-enabled coverage of critical gaps in data required to update the internal truck trip generation model • Also served as a tool to cross-check trip rates that were derived from the two sources – establishment surveys and GPS data • Establishment surveys proved to be a cost effective means of collecting trip generation data with high accuracy and response rates
Warehouse Existing Conditions and Future Needs • A number of factors could alter future demand • Increased use of import warehouses increases demand • Warehouse space utilization efficiency gains reduce demand • More rapid inventory turns reduce demand (but increase transportation system demand) • Need to monitor future developments Warehousing Demand and Shortfall (2035) (million sq. ft.)
Freight Corridor System, Port Trucks, and Logistics Facilities
Rising Truck Volumes in the Region Truck Traffic Today (SR-60)
Truck Bottleneck Relief Strategy • Truck congestion in urban areas within the region resulted in $2.6 billion in costs from wasted labor and fuel • Strategy identified programmed projects and new projects that would address 50 top truck bottlenecks in the region
Growing Volumes Trucks Trains
Regional Rail Market Splits • Freight rail traffic growth in the region is dominated by port-related intermodal cargo • Domestic intermodal rail is still important to many industries’ supply chains • Impacts types and locations of terminals and transload facilities
To learn more about SCAG and our efforts to encourage a more sustainable Southern California now and in the future, please visit www.scag.ca.gov.