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Dodge 2014 Construction Outlook. Cliff Brewis Senior Director Operations. U.S. Macroeconomic Outlook. On balance, the pace of economic expansion remains lackluster. GDP Pattern : History Forecast 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
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Dodge 2014Construction Outlook Cliff Brewis Senior Director Operations
U.S. Macroeconomic Outlook On balance, the pace of economic expansion remains lackluster. • GDP Pattern: • History Forecast • 2010 20112012 20132014 • +2.5% +1.8% +2.8% +1.6% +2.7% • Shape of Recovery: • Private Sector Dependency • Sequestration • Government Uncertainty • Fed Tapering • Improving Local Conditions
U.S. Macroeconomic Outlook Employment growth has also been tepid.
State Performance: Employment Three unique markets Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
U.S. Construction Market Outlook – The Dodge Momentum Index offers insight on what’s ahead.
U.S. Construction Market Outlook – Percent Change, 2009-2014, for Total Construction Starts and Major Sectors. Residential • Single Family • Multifamily Nonresidential • Stores • Offices • Hotels • Other Commercial • Manufacturing • Education • Healthcare • Other Institutional Nonbuilding • Highways & Bridges • Environmental Public Works • Other Public Works • Electric Utilities 2013 Value .
Los Angeles/Orange County: Single Family Continued strong contribution ‘$000.00
Los Angeles/Orange County: Multi Residential Continued strength. ‘$000.00
Los Angeles/Orange County: Retail Modest recovery ‘$000.00
Los Angeles/Orange County: Hotel Occupancy and revenue per room are up ‘$000.00
Los Angeles/Orange County: Health We expect consolidations to limit construction ‘$000.00
Los Angeles/Orange County: Education Bottomed out, but not recovering yet. ‘$000.00
Los Angeles/Orange County: Highways Expected to soften after 2014 ‘$000.00
Los Angeles/Orange County: Totals Unquestionable Improvement ‘$000.00
QUESTIONS? • Cliff Brewis • Senior Director Operations • McGraw-Hill Construction/Dodge • 510.566.0913 • Cliff.brewis@mhfi.com