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Explore the potential for improving hurricane intensity forecasts with high-resolution numerical modeling down to 1 km. This study assesses 69 cases of 10 storms from 2005 and 2007, comparing low- and high-resolution experimental forecasts from six model configurations. Evaluation conducted by GFDL, Vortex Tracker, RI/RW, Vx, NHC Vx, and DTC Evaluation System. Results reported by June 2009.
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The HFIP High-Resolution Hurricane TestLigia Bernardet et al. – WRF Developmental Testbed Center Goal: Asses the potential for improvement of forecast of hurricane intensity through the use of high-resolution numerical forecasting (down to 1 km) Method: Evaluate and compare low- and high-resolution experimental forecasts from six distinct model configurations for 69 cases over 10 storms over 2005 and 2007 seasons DTC Evaluation System Forecasts by modeling groups GFDL Vortex Tracker RI/RW Vx NHC Vx Website and archival Time frame: Forecasts completed by May, report by June 2009