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It’s VUCA Time. Envisioning Education Policy 2012-2015 NASBE New Members Institute July, 2012. VUCA. Volatility Uncertainty Chaos Ambiguity. Four disruptive pressures on public education. Prolonged budgetary crisis Political polarization New technologies Global competition.
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It’s VUCA Time Envisioning Education Policy 2012-2015 NASBE New Members Institute July, 2012
VUCA Volatility Uncertainty Chaos Ambiguity
Four disruptive pressures on public education • Prolonged budgetary crisis • Political polarization • New technologies • Global competition
Seven Predictions 1. Domestic policy priorities 2. Standards-based reform 3. Federal foot print 4. Equity and excellence 5. Measuring quality 6. Evidence-based innovations 7. Forward-thinking membership organizations
1. Education will regain its place in the top five of domestic policy priorities
2. Standards-based reform will begin to be discarded as the framework for education policy at federal level
The federal foot print in education policy will be reduced in ESEA reauthorization
4. The tension between equity and excellence in education policy making will swing like a pendulum
5. Measuring quality will continue to stump policy makers and researchers
6. Evidence-based innovations will thrive but have difficulty in scaling 6.
7. New social media technologies will transform forward-thinking membership organizations 6.