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Zimbabwe: A Decade of HIV Prevention Research. Danuta Kasprzyk, PhD and Daniel Montaño, PhD University of Connecticut, CHIP March 17, 2011. University of Zimbabwe. Overview. Zimbabwe Background Behavior Change Research: Applying the Integrated Behavioral Model (IBM) CPOL
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Zimbabwe: A Decade of HIV Prevention Research Danuta Kasprzyk, PhD and Daniel Montaño, PhD University of Connecticut, CHIP March 17, 2011 University of Zimbabwe
Overview • Zimbabwe Background • Behavior Change Research: Applying the Integrated Behavioral Model (IBM) • CPOL • Male Circumcision • Strategies to Improve Family Functioning Among Families with HIV Positive Parents • Family Health Study
Zimbabwe: Basic demographics • 11.39 Million people • Median Age: 17.6 (M=16.3; F=18.8) • 5.95 Million 15-49 year olds • 41% children under 5 years of age • 70% live in rural areas • 70% of population is women and children • Two majority ethnic groups • 70% Shona; 30% Ndebele • English, Shona and Ndebele are the official languages 2007 – 2008 UN estimates/CIA Factbook estimates
Zimbabwe: Basic demographics • Annual population growth = 0.6 • Adult Literacy 90%: • women 87.6%; • men 93.7% • Percent of primary school enrollment • boys 88%, • girls 87% • Per capita expenditure on health = $146 US 2007 – 2008 UN estimates/CIA Factbook estimates
Zimbabwe: Public Health Indicators Statistics from ZDHS/Multiple Indicator Monitoring Survey 2009/Maternal and Perinatal Mortality Study; * 2007 data
The Zimbabwe AIDS Epidemic • First reported case: 1984 • Prevalence peaked in 1998 at over 30% • 1.1 M PLWHA (2009 est.) • 10% children; 60% women • ~1.3 million orphans • ~135,000 new infections/year
Zimbabwe HIV Prevalence Overall Adult 2005 (ZDHS) Urban: 17% Rural: 15% Total Prevalence % <15.2 15.2 – 16.7 16.7 – 18.4 18.5 – 19.7 >19.7
Zichire Origin • ZiCHIRe formed in July 2000 after obtaining funding to join NIMH Collaborative HIV/STD Prevention Trial • We operate with a formal Memorandum of Understanding with Battelle and University of Zimbabwe (UZ) • 2 collaborating institutions: • Battelle, Centers for Public Health Research and Evaluation • UZ, Medical School, Department of Community Medicine • UZ, Department of Psychology
University of Zimbabwe Zichire office
Research in Zimbabwe • Ten studies conducted since 2000 • RCT HIV/STD Prevention Trial, 8 yrs, NIMH • Alcohol and risky behavior, 4 yrs, NIAAA • Male Circumcision uptake in, 4 yrs, NIMH • Family Health Study: psychosocial support intervention, 6 yrs, NINR • Neuro-cognitive effects of HIV, UW grant, Pilot study • STD Etiology Study, pilot, NIMH • UNICEF: Male Champions rapid assessment evaluation • CDC: • Mopani Junction Radio Drama formative research and pilot impact evaluation • Young Adult Survey development • Health educational pamphlet design technical assistance
Behavior change research:Application of the Integrated Behavioral Model (IBM)
Origin and Application of the IBM • In USA • Project SAFER • In Zimbabwe • Project SAFER • CPOL Trial • Male Circumcision
Intention to Perform the Behavior Integrated Behavioral Model Experiential Attitude Feelings about Behavior Attitude Other Factors Instrumental Attitude Behavioral Beliefs Injunctive Norm Normative Beliefs – Others’ expectations Perceived Norm Normative Beliefs – Others’ behavior Descriptive Norm Control Beliefs Perceived Control Personal Agency Efficacy Beliefs Self-Efficacy
HIV/STD Prevention Trial • NIMH funded, Multi-national Collaborative 2-armed RCT to test HIV/STD prevention intervention • First multi-national test of the Community Popular Opinion Leader (CPOL) Model Intervention: • Multi-site: Conducted in 5 countries • China/UCLA; India/JHU; Peru/UCSF-UCLA; Russia/Medical College of WI; Zimbabwe/Battelle India China Peru Peru
HIV/STD Prevention Trial • Accrued cohort through purposive selection of approximately 185 individuals (30 Growth Points) • Conduct Baseline (N=5,547) • Personal Interview Assessment: • Demographic, Behavioral Risk, IBM • Health Assessment, including STD symptoms • Biologic samples (Bacterial and Viral STDs) • Implement intervention (15 growth points randomly assigned) • Follow-ups at 12 and 24 months (30 growth points)
People shopping at Gokwe Growth Point Shops at Dema Growth Point Growth Point Recruitment Sites Local women selling vegetables outside a store at Nedziwa Growth Point Men drinking Chibuku at a bottle store in Mamina Growth Point
CPOL Behavioral Intervention • Diffusion of Innovation Theory • Uses Community Popular Opinion Leaders • Deliver persuasive messages to peers to encourage behavior change • Opinions and behavior diffuse through community to become norm • CPOLs trained to have conversations with peers • Focus on effective conversation skill training • Use self as example of behavior change • Assumes CPOLs will target the right issues • Attitudes, norms, self efficacy
Application of IBM: Original intent • Apply IBM to: • Inform content of CPOLs’ messages • Structure CPOL conversations with community members • Measure intermediate outcomes • Determine whether behavior change can be explained by change in IBM constructs • Collaborative Trial decisions: • These plans were not implemented across 5 study sites
Additional NIAAA funding • Allowed us to apply the IBM to: • Identify appropriate targets for intervention messages • Assess whether those targets were impacted • Qualitative elicitation interviews to identify: • Underlying issues/beliefs for each IBM construct • 8 behaviors: condom use with different partners, monogamy, talking to partners about sex, sex in context of alcohol use, transactional sex • Develop culturally appropriate IBM construct measures for each behavior
Final IBM Survey • Measured constructs for each behaviour • Behavioural intention/motivation • Attitude: 9-14 behavioural beliefs • Perceived Norm: 4-6 normative beliefs • All three measured with 5-pt Strongly disagree – Strongly agree • Self-Efficacy: 6-11 self-efficacy beliefs • 5-pt Certain I could not – Certain I could • Translated and back-translated to Shona and Ndebele • Conducted survey – Baseline, 12-mo, 24-mo
Results: STI Incidence CPOL Trial Main Outcome Results Results: Unprotected sex
CPOL Trial Results Summary • Equal change in behavior in both Intervention and Control sites • Unprotected sex with non-spousal/live-in partners reduced by 33% • Incidence in combined STD/HIV outcome declined equally • CPOL Intervention did not add anything over and above the counseling and testing intervention • Why no differential effect?
IBM Analysis • Computed model constructs – mean of beliefs underlying construct • Correlation of constructs with Intention • Correlation to identify construct beliefs that best explain Intention and behavior: • Behavioral beliefs underlying Attitude • Normative beliefs underlying Perceived Norm • Efficacy beliefs underlying Self-Efficacy
beta .16** .17** .49** .69 Correlations IBM Constructs with Intention to Use Condoms with Steady Condom Use - Steady (n=2,212) r Attitude .46 Perceived Norm .49 Self Efficacy .65 Multiple R All correlations significant with p < 0.01; Multiple R significant with p < 0.01; ** beta weight significant with p < 0.01
Behavioral Beliefs: Rs with Condom Use Motivation (Steady Partner) All correlations significant with p < 0.001
Normative Beliefs: Rs with Condom Use Motivation (Steady Partner) All correlations significant with p < 0.001
Efficacy Beliefs: Rs with Condom Use Motivation (Steady Partner) All correlations significant with p < 0.001
Was there differential impact? • Computed change score for each measure • 24-month minus Baseline • Tested for significant difference: • Intervention vs. Control • If constructs were targeted appropriately, expected greater change for Intervention vs Control
Differential ChangeBehavioral Beliefs (Steady Partner Condom Use)
Differential ChangeNormative Beliefs (Steady Partner Condom Use)
Differential ChangeEfficacy Beliefs (Steady Partner Condom Use)
Behavioral Beliefs: Rs with Monogamy Motivation All correlations significant with p < 0.004, except *
Normative Beliefs: R with Monogamy Intention All correlations significant with p < 0.001
Efficacy Beliefs: Rs with Monogamy Intention All correlations significant with p < 0.001
Impact and Process Evaluation • CPOLs had conversations • CPOLs expressed frustration: • Did not know what to target in conversations • Data shows CPOLs did not target/impact critical beliefs • Training successful in motivating conversations and conversation skills • Not successful in teaching CPOLs how to target and change beliefs shown to be key in changing behavior
Enhanced CPOL Intervention • IBM complements CPOL • CPOL provides channel of persuasive communication • IBM provides behavioral theory to identify targets of persuasive messages • Train CPOLs in IBM conceptualization • Train CPOLs to have guided conversations • Use IBM conversation guide to systematically identify beliefs to target for each person • Target issues identified • Train CPOLs to develop messages for target beliefs identified in this research
Enhanced CPOL intervention • Used in roll-out to comparison sites • Trainers and CPOLs extremely positive • CPOLs understood IBM conceptualization • Expressed greater confidence in: • Having targeted conversations with peers • Having an impact on behavior • Not evaluated
Closing the Gap in Male Circumcision UptakeEnvironmental and Behavioral Factors Shaping Male Circumcision Decisions in ZimbabweFunded by: National Institute of Mental Health
Why Circumcision: Ecological Studies Caldwell Strong potential impact