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The Presidential Selection Process?

The Presidential Selection Process?. A two-stage process. Nomination General Election. General Election Rules. FECA. Federal Election Campaign Act. General election: Public financing for presidential campaigns (with limits on campaign spending). General Election Rules. FECA

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The Presidential Selection Process?

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  1. The Presidential Selection Process?

  2. A two-stage process • Nomination • General Election

  3. General Election Rules • FECA

  4. Federal Election Campaign Act • General election: Public financing for presidential campaigns (with limits on campaign spending)

  5. General Election Rules • FECA • The Electoral College

  6. The Electoral College • Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress

  7. Electoral College • Each state gets number of electors equal to Reps + Senators • Electors are NOT Reps or Senators themselves • Electors chosen by the parties + campaigns • Electors meet in own states • Cast two votes, one for president, one for vice president • Person with majority of electoral votes becomes president • If no majority, House of Representatives (one vote per state delegation) selects president from among top three Electoral College vote-getters

  8. Some problems with the Electoral College? • Faithless Electors? • A small/big state advantage? • The winner of the popular vote doesn’t always become president • Not transparent • All votes not weighted equally

  9. Alternatives to the Electoral College?Pros and Cons?

  10. Strategic Consequences of the Electoral College?

  11. Strategic consequences of the Electoral College • Candidates focus on big states with lots of Electoral Votes • Candidates focus on swing states, where money and face time might make a difference

  12. REPUBLICAN STATES: AL: 9, AR: 3, AK: 6, GA: 15, ID: 4, KS: 6, KY: 8, LA: 9, MS: 6, MT: 3, NE: 5, ND: 3, OK: 7, SC: 8, SD: 3, TX: 34, UT: 5, WY: 3. Total: 147 DEMOCRATIC STATES CA: 55, CT: 7, DE: 3, DC: 3, HI: 4, IL: 21, ME: 4, MD: 10, MA: 12, NJ: 15, NY: 31, RI: 4, VT: 3 Total: 169 Sure things

  13. The purple states • The West: • Arizona: 10 EV, Colorado: 9 EV, Nevada: 5 EV, • New Mexico: 5 EV, Oregon: 7 EV, Washington: 11 EV • The Midwest: • Minnesota: 10 EV, Iowa: 7 EV, Missouri: 11 EV, Ohio: 20 EV, Pennsylvania: 21 EV, Michigan 17 EV, Indiana 11 • Wisconsin: 10 EV, • Border states: • Tennessee: 11 EV, West Virginia: 5 EV, Virginia 13 • The South: Florida: 27 EV, North Carolina, 15 • The North: New Hampshire: 4 EV

  14. Targeted States, 2004

  15. The Electoral Calendar • ELECTION DAY • By late evening, one candidate leads in the exit polls in enough states to win 270 Electoral Votes, and the Media declares a winner. • One candidate concedes the election, the other proclaims victory (usually)

  16. The Electoral Calendar • First Monday following First Wednesday in December: Electors meet in their state capitols and cast their formal votes for president • January 6, 2009: The President of the Senate opens and counts the votes • January 20, 2009: The newly elected (or re-elected) president is inaugurated

  17. What kinds of presidential candidates are favored in this system?Are they the kind we want? To whom are they accountable?

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