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PPR 2008:03 081023

PPR 2008:03 081023. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bonds Per cent, quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank. Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank.

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PPR 2008:03 081023

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  1. PPR 2008:03081023

  2. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bondsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank

  3. Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  4. Figure 3. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  5. Figure 4. Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates (TED spread)Basis points Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

  6. Figure 5. Policy rates and three-month interbank rates in the USA and SwedenPer cent Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

  7. Figure 6. Stock market movementsIndex, 04.01.99 = 100 Source: Reuters EcoWin

  8. Figure 7. GDP abroadTCW-weighted, annual percentage points Sources: National sources and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  9. Figure 8. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel, future price Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank

  10. Figure 9. Monetary policy in the euro area and the USAPer cent Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

  11. Figure 10. GDP for the United States and the euro areaQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Eurostat, Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Riksbank

  12. Figure 11. GDPQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  13. Figure 12. Exchange rate movementsSEK per euro Source: Reuters EcoWin

  14. Figure 13. TCW exchange rateIndex, 18.11.92=100 Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  15. Figure 14. ExportQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  16. Figure 15. Household’s disposable incomes, consumption and saving ratio Annual percentage change, fixed prices and percentage of disposable income Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  17. Figure 16. Fixed gross investmentQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  18. Figure 17. General government net lendingPer cent of GDP Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken bars represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  19. Figure 18. Number of hours workedIndex, quarter 1 2000 =100, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  20. Figure 19. Labour force and number of employedThousands, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  21. Figure 20. UnemployedPercentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  22. Figure 21. Actual and trend productivity growth in the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  23. Figure 22. Unit labour costs for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  24. Figure 23. Employment rateEmployment as a percentage of the population,16-64 year, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  25. Figure 24. Estimated gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  26. Figure 25. CPI, CPIF and CPIXAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  27. Figure 26. CPI Quarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  28. Figure 27. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  29. Figure 28. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  30. Figure 29. CPIAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  31. Figure 30. The CPIF, outcome and forecasts on different occasionsAnnual percentage change Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note: Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast

  32. Table 1. Inflation, annual averageAnnual percentage change Note. The assessment in the Monetary Policy Update in September 2008 is stated in parenthesis. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  33. Table 2. Inflation, 12-month averageAnnual percentage change Note. The assessment in the Monetary Policy Update in September 2008 is stated in parenthesis. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  34. Table 3. Key figures, annual averageAnnual percentage change unless otherwise specified * Percentage of labor force Note. The assessment in the Monetary Policy Update in September 2008 is stated in parenthesis. Sources: IMF, Intercontinental Exchange, National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  35. Table 4. Repo rate forecastPer cent, quarterly averages Note. The assessment in the Monetary Policy Update in September 2008 is stated in parenthesis. Source: The Riksbank

  36. Figure 31. GDPAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  37. Figure 32. Production gap (GDP)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  38. Figure 33. Labour market gapPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  39. Figure 34. Repo rate assumptionsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  40. Figure 35. Real interest ratePer cent Source: the Riksbank

  41. Figure 36. CPIAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  42. Figure 37. TCW exchange rateIndex Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  43. Figure 38. Production gap (GDP)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  44. Figure 39. Labour market gapPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  45. Figure 40. Repo rate assumptionsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  46. Figure 41. CPIAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  47. Figure 42. Real interest ratePer cent Source: The Riksbank

  48. Figure 43. CPIAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  49. Figure 44. Repo rate assumptionsPer cent, quarterly averages Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Source: The Riksbank

  50. Figure 45. Real interest ratePer cent, quarterly averages Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

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