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Hypothesis Testing. Are two species identical? Are they more similar than you ’ d expect based on the distribution of environmental variables in their allopatric ranges?. Hypothesis testing. Actual Overlap. Distribution of overlaps under null hypothesis. OCCURRENCE RANDOMIZATION.
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Hypothesis Testing • Are two species identical? • Are they more similar than you’d expect based on the distribution of environmental variables in their allopatric ranges?
Hypothesis testing Actual Overlap Distribution of overlaps under null hypothesis
OCCURRENCE RANDOMIZATION Observed overlap Overlap for pseudoreplicate
A. coelestinus A. chlorocyanus
Incumbency • Steep environmental gradient • Ribbon of unsuitable habitat (tension zone)
Model selection • ENMTools includes functions for calculating information criteria, so that models may be selected based on a combination of fit and complexity • AICc • BIC
Simulated Data “Truth” + Inference
Other tools • Useful measurements • ENM “breadth” • Range overlap • Variable correlation • Removal of duplicate occurrences • Jackknife, bootstrap, spatial cross-validation