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Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Henry Phillips (FORECAST Project)

Round Table Forum on Short Rotation Forestry. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Henry Phillips (FORECAST Project). Oak Park, Carlow 11 th February 2011. Outline. Potential Wood Supply Factors which influence supply + assumptions.

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Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Henry Phillips (FORECAST Project)

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  1. Round Table Forum on Short Rotation Forestry Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Henry Phillips (FORECAST Project) Oak Park, Carlow 11th February 2011

  2. Outline • Potential Wood Supply • Factors which influence supply + assumptions • Estimate of Potential Wood Energy Availability • Factors which influence availability + assumptions • Estimated Demand for Wood Energy • Factors driving demand Supply – Demand Balance Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  3. Potential Wood Supply – All Ireland Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  4. Potential Wood Supply (Net Realisable Volume) Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  5. Potential Wood Supply (Net Realisable Volume) Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  6. Potential Wood Supply Factors Which Influence Supply Price Availability of support for road construction Harvesting infrastructure Owners’ intentions Regulatory framework Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  7. Potential Wood Energy Availability How to Define Wood Energy Assortment • Size category • Tip – 7cm • 7-13cm • 14-19cm • 20+ cm • Species • PCRW • Processing Residues (Co-products) • Harvesting lop and top Traditional Markets Wood Volumes Energy Markets Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  8. Potential Wood Energy Availability (ROI) Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  9. Potential Wood Energy Availability Factors Driving Demand • Global Energy Prices • EU Renewables Energy Directive • Government Response and Schemes • ReHeat programme • Renewable Energy Feed-In Tariff (REFIT) • Societal Values Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  10. Supply – Demand Balance – Republic Only Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  11. Supply – Demand Balance (All Ireland) Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  12. Concluding Remarks • There is an increasing imbalance between supply and demand for Wood Energy • It will be extremely challenging to leverage supplies from the private sector • Coillte will remain the dominant supplier and user of small sized roundwood • Possible to • Import, • Increase SRC and • Create more enabling environment • No obvious solution – combination of initiatives but needs to be planned Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics

  13. Round Table Forum on Short Rotation Forestry Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Thank You

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