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Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through

Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs). Jeroen Aerts. Hurricane Sandy, October 2012. Hurricane Irene , August 2011. > U$ 50 Bn Damage > 200 Deaths. Manhattan (1664). Manhattan (~1850). 6. Manhattan (~1915).

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Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through

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  1. Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs) JeroenAerts

  2. Hurricane Sandy, October 2012

  3. Hurricane Irene, August 2011

  4. > U$ 50 Bn Damage > 200 Deaths

  5. Manhattan (1664)

  6. Manhattan (~1850) 6

  7. Manhattan (~1915)

  8. Manhattan (~1930)

  9. Manhattan (~2007) 9

  10. FEMA Floodzones (1/100 and 1/500)

  11. Risk Governance Public Private Probability Risk from hazard People € Vulnerability / exposure Multi SectoralPartnerships, MSPs

  12. Risk Governance Public Private Probability Risk from hazard People € Vulnerability / exposure Multi SectoralPartnerships, MSPs NYC : 6 billion Euro -> Sandy: 50 bn Euro

  13. Risk Governance Public Insitutions / legislation Private Probability Risk from hazard Capacity / knowlegde People € Perception Vulnerability / exposure Multi SectoralPartnerships, MSPs

  14. Risk Governance Public Private Risk Assessment Risk from hazard How to organize institutions, such they lower risk? Risk from hazard People Multi SectoralPartnerships, MSPs

  15. Risk Governance Public Private Risk from hazard People Multi SectoralPartnerships, MSPs DRR measures

  16. Which MSPs are most effective in lowering risk? Public Private Risk from hazard People Multi SectoralPartnerships, MSPs DRR measures

  17. 7 regional case studies 3 pan European case studies DE+: Wadden Sea UK: Greater London Core: 10 Case studies AT+: Austrian railways NL: Rotterdam Port PT: Chamusca IT: PO RBD ES: Jucar RBD

  18. Chamusca, Postugal: Forest Fires Forest Fires

  19. Chamusca, Portugal: Forest Fires Public Building code Restriction urbanization Risk People Forest Fires

  20. Chamusca, Portugal: Forest Fires Public Building code Restriction urbanization Insurers Risk People Forest Fires

  21. Port Cities & Flood risk

  22. Port Cities & Flood risk London: Insurance Rotterdam: no Insurance

  23. Port Cities & Flood risk London: Flood Insurance Rotterdam: no Insurance Public Public Insurers People

  24. Risk Cascades : Po River Basin, Italy Public Insurers Low Flows  Droughts  Salt intrusion from the sea  drinking water People Earth quake  Dike breach  Flood -> Damage

  25. Heath Waves & Health Flood damage & EU Solidarity fund Volcanic ash & air traffic Pan European Cases

  26. Stress test : EU SolidarityFund EU SF Member state RE-Insurers?

  27. Volcanic Eruption & Aviation

  28. Volcanic Eruption & Aviation

  29. Volcanic Eruption & Aviation Eurocontrol Public Insurers Limit cancelled flights Meteo -services People Airlines

  30. Public Private Testing MSPs using extreme scenarios People What if scenario? Cascades/ Multi hazard Scenarios & Hazard models Outlook

  31. Role EU policies in effective MSPs Special Focus on role Insurance in MSPs Outlook: Recommendations Input Hyogo framework

  32. Website: www.enhanceproject.eu Thanks for your attention! Coordinator: jeroen.aerts@vu.nl Communication: cedric.hananel@arctik.eu

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