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NBS-M016 : Contemporary Issues in Climate Change

Energy Demand Commercial / other sector requirements. NBS-M016 : Contemporary Issues in Climate Change. 16 March, 2010. Table of Contents. 1. Scope of this presentation. Energy Demand. 30% of the total energy consumption. Domestic. Industrial. Transport. Commercial / Others.

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NBS-M016 : Contemporary Issues in Climate Change

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  1. Energy Demand Commercial / other sector requirements NBS-M016 : Contemporary Issues in Climate Change 16 March, 2010

  2. Table of Contents

  3. 1. Scope of this presentation Energy Demand 30% of the total energy consumption Domestic Industrial Transport Commercial / Others

  4. 2. Total Consumption (as data) Thousand tonnes of oil equivalent Source : DECC (dukes1_1_5.xls) Energy consumption by Final User

  5. 2. Total Consumption (as trend)

  6. 3. Economic Trends

  7. 3. Economic Trends Energy intensity for the service sector http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/publications/ecuk/ecuk.aspx

  8. 4. Assumptions – for Commercial/Service sector Some assumptions have been made in extrapolating the numbers for the future • Population • In UK, economic growth will continue to result in declining population growth rate • Global economic growth of developing countries and other regions will result in reduced migration • Globalization and technology will result in faster growth of Commercial / Service sector while resulting a gradual decline in industrial / manufacturing sector • Improvement in health / life-expectancy will provide a larger labour pool for Commercial / Service sector • Energy Efficiency • By 2020, there will be a convergence and nations will accept binding targets for drastic reduction in emissions • Energy efficiency in all sectors will continue to improve due new technology, standards, regulations • From 2000-2008, there has been a reduction of approximately 1% per annum. We will make an assumption of a reduction of 0.5% per annum for the next 20 years

  9. 4. Assumptions – for Commercial/Service sector The following areas will impact the total consumption in the commercial sector

  10. 5. Projections for Service sector

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