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Sustainable Energy for All A focus on efficiency and climate change

Sustainable Energy for All A focus on efficiency and climate change Kandeh K. Yumkella, Director-General WMO, Geneva, 23.3.2012. The Age of Planetary Boundaries and Resource Scarcity 3 billion more middle class consumers expected 80% rise in steel demand by 2030

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Sustainable Energy for All A focus on efficiency and climate change

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  1. Sustainable Energy for All A focus on efficiency and climate change Kandeh K. Yumkella, Director-General WMO, Geneva, 23.3.2012

  2. The Age of Planetary Boundaries • and Resource Scarcity • 3 billion more middle class consumers expected • 80% rise in steel demand by 2030 • Since the turn of the century, 147% increase in real commodity prices • December 2010, FAO food price index at all time high (2010 to 2011 wheat • prices rose by 75%) • 100% increase in average cost to bring a new oil well into production in last • two decades • TGIF • Water stress 2

  3. The UN Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon, established a new • High-Level Group on Sustainable Energy for All • Co-chairs: Yumkella and Holliday (Bank of America) • Multi-stakeholder group with strong private sector participation • Full Action Agenda delivered at Rio+20, 2012 3

  4. By 2030: • Universal Access • Double the historical rate of improvement in Energy Efficiency • Double the share of Renewable Energy in the overall mix 4

  5. Implications of achieving universal modern energy access 20 40 Additional energy demand in the Energy for All Case 0.7% 1.1% 15 30 World energy demand in the central scenario Gigatonnes Billion tonnes of oil equivalent 10 20 Additional CO2 emissions in the Energy for All Case (right axis) 5 10 World CO2 emissions in the central scenario (right axis) 0 0 World energy demand 2030 World CO2 emissions 2030 Source: IEA 5

  6. Final energy demand and GHG Emissions in the GEA scenarios (blue lines) and compared to a business as usual case (red line) 6 6

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  8. Industrial energy intensity Low-income developing economies Lower middle-income developing economies Upper middle-income developing economies High-income developing economies 8

  9. UNIDO database on Industrial Energy Efficiency policies http://ieep.unido.org/ 9

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  11. Temperature profiles for one of the GEA scenarios and for a business as usual development. Climate sensitivity of 1.5-4.5 degrees C from IPCC 2007 AR4 11 11

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