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WEC Europe-Regional Meeting in Brussels 20 th February 2009 Climate change policy beyond 2012. Terms of Reference. The objectives of Task Force are: 1. To develop a long-term view about options for climate change policy in Europe;
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WEC Europe-Regional Meeting in Brussels 20th February 2009 Climate change policybeyond 2012
Terms of Reference The objectives of Task Force are: 1. To develop a long-term view about options for climate change policy in Europe; 2. To deliver long-term scenarios of GHG-emissions and abatement technologies including abatement costs and influence on energy prices; 3. To develop a view on the further development of the EU emissions trading scheme after 2012
Members of the Task Force Study chair Stefan Ulreich (Germany) Czech Republic Mr. Tomáš Chmelík France Christine Faure-Fedigan Nicole Dellero Germany Christian Güthert Uwe Maassen Heimo Friede Hans-Wilhelm Schiffer Italy Federico Rossi Alessandro Clerici Francesca Massara Massimo Ceccariglia Netherlands Theo. W. Fens Serbia Dr Miodrag Mesarovic Slovenia dr. Tomaž Štokelj Sweden Leif Halvorsen Switzerland Prof. Eberhard Jochem Dr. Marco Berg International Org. Paul Bulteel Nicola Rega John Scowcroft WEC Simon GodwinObserver Jean-Eudes Moncomble
Time schedule Meetings 31st July Dusseldorf 13th October Milan 25th November Paris 21st January Brussels 19th February Brussels
Chapter 1 General background The Greenhouse Gas Effect and Climate Change The 4th Assessment Report by the IPCC Greenhouse Gas Data Increases in global CO2 emissions, 1990 - 2005 Scenarios of global carbon emissions until 2030
Chapter 1 Goals defined by science
Chapter 1 Main sectors in EU-27: Energy supply and transport
Chapter 1 European share on global GHG-emissions
Chapter 1 Comparison of the electricity generation
Chapter 1 Key messages: • GHG emissions are globally still rising • Major contributor is the fossil fuel combustion,especially for electricity production. • Technological solutions are present, but need time until they will contributelargely to a further GHG reduction • Europe will be part of the solution mainlyin terms of clean technology development. • An effective combat against climate changeneeds a global solution. Europe can show the wayand demonstrate efforts, but other important regionsshould move and establish their pathways.
Chapter 2 General climate policy The present international framework Kyoto protocol status Status of technological partnerships ETS around the world
Chapter 2 The COP/MOP negotiations
Chapter 2 • Technological partnerships • Asia-Pacific Partnership • EU with India and China • CCS: CSLF (Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum), ZEP (European initiative on zero emission platform) • Nuclear: Generation IV initiative gathering 10 countries over 4 continents and INPRO
Chapter 2 ETS around the world
Chapter 2 • Key messages • Long negotiation process • Apart from the EU-27 other national and regional initiatives are present • Technology partnerships asfirst step to techology distribution
Chapter 3 • Climate friendly technologies • Identify technologies • Abatement costs • Abatement volumes • Try to explore “unusual” solutions
Chapter 3 • Demand side
Chapter 3 • Supply side
Chapter 3 • Key messages • There is a huge portfolio of technologies at demand and supply side that have the potential to reach deep cuts in GHG emissions; • Technology must be accompanied by life style changes; • All these technologies must be accessible without exclusion; • Electricity is the only energy vector that can be further decarbonised in the foreseeable future through a range of technologies and offers the prospect of low carbon road transport through the hybrid and electric vehicle and of contributing to low carbon heating through heat pump systems. • Technology diffusion will not come by itself, there is a need for a whole range of policy measures including education and information, providing a long term price signal for GHG emissions, efficiency standards, R&D, incentives and support schemes;
Chapter 4 Status quo of the EU ETS The EU Emissions Trading Scheme in a nutshell Expectations and Reality A view on the EU ETS market Review of the EU ETS The Energy-Climate Package Lessons learned
Chapter 4 EU ETS has already a long history
Chapter 4 EU ETS in a nutshell Allocation Trading Verification
Chapter 4 EU ETS as a market Price drivers and price history
Chapter 4 Energy Climate-Package Community-Wide cap and long-term target visibility Extension of the scope of the EU ETS Harmonised allocation methods Funding projects mitigating GHG emissions Strengthening of monitoring, reporting and verification procedures Linking to other ETS systems
Chapter 4 Key messages • The EU ETS works • Keep the system simple • Long-term visibility and predictability • Robustness of monitoring, reporting and verification systems • Coherency of the policy-framework
Chapter 5 Development of EU climate policy beyond 2020 WTO-rules, competitiveness, non-ETS sector, global allocation rules, security of supply
Chapter 6 • Pathway to a climate friendly Europe • needed investments • attractivity/risk of investments, • energy mix, • connected emissions, • costs for the public (Stern report),
Chapter 6 Mainly electricity sector and transport considered
Chapter 7 • Conclusions and recommendations • We need a global price on CO2 emissions • We need more support for climate friendly technologies • Investments are key – longer horizons needed • Re-balancing necessary: Security of supply and Affordable energy
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