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The growing demand for statistics: challenges and opportunities. Pilar Martin-Guzman Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Significant increase in the demand for statistical information. A challenging issue for official statisticians But every challenge i s an opportunity.
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The growing demand for statistics: challenges and opportunities Pilar Martin-Guzman Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
Significant increase in the demand for statistical information • A challenging issue for official statisticians • But every challenge is an opportunity
Statisticians have taken advantage of these opportunities • Statistical information has improved • A “silent revolution” (Domingo Solans) • But, do current statistics satisfy the users?
The demand increases • Traditional users grow and expand their fields of interest • New users join in • The scenario changes • Users are more exacting on quality issues
Traditional users • International organisations (IMF) • Governments • Market players and enterprises • Researchers • Public at large
Three groups of countries • Well established democracies with market economies • Countries in transition from non-democratic regimes with centrally planned economies • Consolidating democracies
Some newcomers • Supranational organisations (ECB) • Decision makers at regional and local level
Changes in the scenario • Globalisation • The ICT revolution
Some challenges from globalisation • Massive migration inflows • Internationalisation of the markets • New interest in remote countries
Some challenges from the ICT revolution • New indicators are necessary • Some of the present statistics become irrelevant • Frequent up-dating of definitions and classifications
The elements of quality • Relevance • Coherence • Timeliness • Interpretability • Accessibility • Accuracy
Perception of the user • Not necessarily coincident with the opinion of the producer • It depends very much on expectations (statistical literacy) • The impossibility to replicate surveys
Decision makers and market players • Accuracy versus timeliness • What is really important about accuracy is not so much increasing it as measuring it (Sir Claus Moser, 2003)
Researchers • Consistency of time series • Accessibility versus confidentiality • Statistics used in new research fields: risks and opportunities.
Groups deserving special attention • The new decision makers • The media
Conclusions • For a positive perception of the users, improving the statistical production is important: • This is the task of official statisticians
Conclusions • But improving the statistical liteacy of the users is also important • And this is a task for all statisticians