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Formal Members

Interagency Steering Committee for Multimedia Environmental Modeling Purpose and organization Pierre Glynn Chair, 2009-2010. Formal Members. Other “Environmental Modeling” Agencies (that we would like to consider signing our MOU). NEON. TNC. ISCMEM Working Groups.

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Formal Members

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  1. Interagency Steering Committeefor Multimedia EnvironmentalModelingPurpose and organizationPierre GlynnChair, 2009-2010

  2. Formal Members

  3. Other “Environmental Modeling” Agencies(that we would like to consider signing our MOU) NEON TNC

  4. ISCMEM Working Groups • Software System Design and Implementation for Environmental Modeling • Model Uncertainty Analysis and Parameter Estimation • Subsurface Reactive Solute Transport Modeling • Distributed Watershed/Water Quality Monitoring • Modeling of Ecosystem Services and Functions (new) • Integrated Monitoring and Modeling (proposed)

  5. Our Environmental Modeling Challenge • Land-use change and climate change are affecting and modifying our environment. • Managing our growth and the change of our landscapes requires syntesizing and interpreting a wide diversity of information. • What do we need for environmental modeling? • Eight ingredients and a shared coordinated approach !

  6. (1) Create information framework(s) Abraham Ortelius Theatrum Orbis Terrarum, 1570, courtesy of Wikipedia

  7. Earthquakes Geology Tectonics Aquifers Faults Moho depth Integration Across Disciplines Topography Gravity Mines Focal Mechanisms Sediment thickness Magnetics (2) Integrate multiple types of information

  8. (3) Consider Three Dimensions (and more) In Sanford et al., 2006, USGS Circular 1293, “Research Opportunities in Interdisciplinary Ground-Water Science in the USGS“. Originally from Hyndman et al., 2000, Water Resources Research, v. 36, no. 8, p. 2121–2132.

  9. Shepard Glacier: (Glacier National Park, MT) 1913 W. C. Alden photo USGS Photographic Library 2005 Blase Reardon photo USGS (4) Include the time dimension! Determine antecedent conditions. Figure out process and system lags. Do not assume steady-state: ecosystems are dynamic & non-linear. USGS Repeat Photography Project http://nrmsc.usgs.gov/repeatphoto/

  10. (5) Add and Quantify Biota and Biotic Processes (all trophic levels; include humans) Clostridium Phytofermentans Edwards Aquifer Blind Salamander (Typhlomolge Rathbuni; USGS Circular 1293) From Smitsonian Dig It! Soils Exhibit (http://forces.si.edu/soils/index.html) Penicillium Notatum Include predators & trophic cascades Mycorrhizal fungi (http://gardenofeaden.blogspot.com/; Cf. also Bonneville et al., 2009, Geology: 37(7), 615-618) Lichens and fungi (RMNP; Pierre Glynn)

  11. (6) Account for uncertainties and be accountable. From ISCMEM Fact sheet Nicholas Naseem Taleb: uncertainty multiplication in billiards (The Black Swan)

  12. 7) Include monitoring & integrate with modeling: “We can’t manage what we don’t monitor”. Cf. recent article by Ralph Keeling: Science, 2008, p. 1771-1772

  13. 8) Make modeling & monitoring relevant and explicitly “valuable” to human society!

  14. The ISCMEM Mission • Share information on environmental modeling advances and capabilities • Promote development of modeling frameworks, modeling communities, community modeling, data sharing and data evaluation, integrated monitoring and modeling • Promote environmental modeling education • Spur self-organization in the modeling/monitoring community • Sponsor individual environmental modeling projects

  15. THE END

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