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Trends in Urban Transit in the U.S. – Some Comparisons. Edd Hauser, P.E., PhD Nicholas J. Swartz, MPA Center for Transportation Policy Studies UNC Charlotte. “The role of a university has always been to provide a forum for the free and open discussion of ideas and precepts.”.
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Trends in Urban Transit in the U.S. – Some Comparisons Edd Hauser, P.E., PhD Nicholas J. Swartz, MPA Center for Transportation Policy Studies UNC Charlotte
“The role of a university has always been to provide a forum for the free and open discussion of ideas and precepts.” - Keyishian vs. Board of Regents, State University of New York, 385 U.S. 589 (1967) – a finding upheld by the U.S. Supreme Court
Presentation Outline • Highway Funding Trends in the U.S. • Transit Cost and Ridership Trends • Comparative Analysis of Transit in Cities with Light Rail Systems • Data on Charlotte Transit and Highways
Source: Status of the Nation's Highways, Bridges, and Transit: 2004 Conditions and Performance, US Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration
Source: Status of the Nation's Highways, Bridges, and Transit: 2004 Conditions and Performance, US Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration
Transit in the U. S. & Charlotte • Nationwide today, approx. 65,000 buses (140,000 route miles) • Charlotte – growth from 143 to 247 buses (from 47 to 76 routes) between 1998 and 2007 • 15,000 rail vehicles(9,800 route miles) • Trip Types: Source: American Public Transportation Association Website (www.APTA.com)
Operating Expenses & Ridership (1999-2005) • Nationwide: • 49.3 percent increase in Operating Expenses • 8.9 percent increase in annual pass. miles • 16% increase in vehicle revenue miles • Charlotte: • 158 % increase in operating expenses • 26% increase in annual passenger miles • 81% increase in vehicle revenue miles • Highest increases: • Light Rail • Demand Response • Van Pool Source: 2005 National Transit Summaries and Trends (http://www.ntdprogram.com)
VRM, Bus Transit Source: 2005 National Transit Summaries and Trends (http://www.ntdprogram.com)
VRM, Light Rail Transit Source: 2005 National Transit Summaries and Trends (http://www.ntdprogram.com)
Comparative Analysis of Bus Transit in Cities with Light Rail Systems • Service Area and # of Bus and Light Rail Vehicles • Service Efficiency (Operating Expense Per Vehicle Revenue Mile) • Cost Effectiveness (Operating Expense Per Passenger Mile) • Proportion of Bus Operating Expenses Collected in Fares
Bus Transit Service Area (sq. mi.) (2005) Source: Federal Transit Administration, National Transit Database for 2005
2005 Source: Federal Transit Administration, National Transit Database for 2005
(2005) Source: Federal Transit Administration, National Transit Database for 2005
Source: Federal Transit Administration, National Transit Database for 2005
Analysis of “Reasonableness” of South Corridor LRT Development • Capital Cost per mile – selected systems (2007 dollars) • Comparative Cost with other Transportation Projects in the Charlotte Area • Long-range Transportation Cost Projections • Private Sector Investments generated
Capital Cost per Mile, LRT - New Start Projects Cost in 2007 Dollars (Mil.) Charlotte $ 48.2 Dallas $ 60 Denver $ 32 Sacramento $ 13 St. Louis $ 56 Seattle $179 Sources: www.lightrail.com/projects.htm; www.soundtransit.org/x1171.xml; http://www.charmeck.org/Departments/Charlotte+Future/Why+Rapid+Transit/Home.htm
Cost Estimate Increase over time – Selected Charlotte Area Projects Pct. Change from Orig. Cost Estm. To Present LRT South Corridor 109 % US 29-601 Connector 305 % I-485, NW Section 292 % US 29 – NC 49 Connector 327 % Monroe Bypass 213 % Sources: CATS and NCDOT TIP
Long-Range Cost Projections to 2030, Mecklenburg County Current Estm. (2006 dollars) YOE Estm. Transit - CATS ½ cent $1.0 B. $ 1.9 B. NCDOT 0.6 B. 0.7 B. Federal 1.6 B. 1.9 B. Totals 3.2 B. 4.5 B. Highways - NCDOT $2.6 B. CDOT 0.5 B. Total $ 3.1 B. Sources: CATS, NCDOT, CDOT
Building Permits and Property Tax Values in South End Building Permits ($ M.) Prop. Tax Value ($ M.) FY 2000 $ 232 FY 2003 $ 281 $ 441 FY 2004 $ 301 FY 2005 $ 322 $515 FY 2006 $ 403 Source: City of Charlotte Budget and Evaluation Office
TRB Report (2000): • -Charlotte experienced an average 26.1 minute work trip (an increase of 4.5 minutes, or 20.9% increase since 1990). -Atlanta: 31.2 minutes • -Raleigh-Durham: 24.9 min. • TTI (2005): Charlotte was 22nd highest level of congestion in the country and 2nd highest among cities between 500,000-1m people Source: US Census
Source: Produced by the Charlotte-Mecklenburg County Planning Commission, March 2002
2030 Corridor Plan Source: CATS
Summary / Observations • CATS bus operations • LRT development • Overall quality of life and economic development in the region • Long-range vision
Thank You! Edd Hauser, P.E., Ph.D. Professor and Director, Center for Transportation Policy Studies UNC Charlotte 9201 University City Blvd. Charlotte, NC 28223 (704) 687-5953 ehauser@uncc.edu www.transpol.uncc.edu