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July 7 2009 Night time Supercell • Convection developed over Central NY and then intensified into two discrete line segments in low CAPE/high shear environment. One of these segments developed a low topped supercell tracking se along the Lower Hudson Valley/NE NJ border into Nassau County. Severe hail and winds were experienced with this storm.
Storm Relative Velocity Reflectivity Velocity Tornado Vortex algorithm output
Weak surface trough…providing low-level convergence and moisture pooling
Weak surface low providing some low-level convergence and shear
There is not much instability, and only a weak surface low…so what was the forcing for these storms?
100 kt upper level jet streak approaching region!!…with strong upper level divergence
Strong jet dynamics and deep layer shear were able to overcome weak nightime instability to explosively strengthen storms into supercell.Low-level shear and helicity environment was less than ideal for tornadic formation…but the supercell had a subtle surface boundary and surface low to work with…which locally enhanced low level shear and convergence.
3 body scatter spike…w/ 75 dbz at 17500 ft...(-12c at 16kft) at 323z – Guaranteed Sign of Severe Hail !!
Nice inflow notch, wer and 3 body scatter spike at 327z Golf ball size hail reported in Yonkers!
Strong and persistent mesocyclone indicative of strong updrafts…a supercell.
50 kt inbounds on 0.5 deg slice at about 4kft. Lots of trees down in NE Bergen, S Westchester, and NW Nassau Counties. 100 mph winds estimated in Yonkers. 17000 without power at one point in Westchester.