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Large Improvement in CFS Prediction Skill by Regime Dependent Bias Correction

Large Improvement in CFS Prediction Skill by Regime Dependent Bias Correction. Wilbur Y. Chen Climate Prediction Center NCEP/NWS/NOAA. Conventional bias corrected fcst skill. Raw Forecasts. Conventional bias corrected fcsts. Neutral DJFs. Warm DJFs. Cold DJFs. MDL. OBS. Bias.

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Large Improvement in CFS Prediction Skill by Regime Dependent Bias Correction

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  1. Large Improvementin CFS Prediction Skill by Regime Dependent Bias Correction Wilbur Y. Chen Climate Prediction Center NCEP/NWS/NOAA

  2. Conventional bias corrected fcst skill

  3. Raw Forecasts Conventional bias corrected fcsts

  4. Neutral DJFs Warm DJFs Cold DJFs MDL OBS Bias

  5. El Nino Bias La Nina Bias Neutral Bias

  6. Raw Fcst Verification Improved Fcst

  7. Large improvement in AC skill by Regime Dependent Bias Correction

  8. Regime dependent bias corrected Raw Forecasts

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