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Factors Determining the Price Of Used Mid-Compact Size Vehicles. Team 4. INTRODUCTION. Used least squares regression analysis to determine the factors that affect mid-compact size vehicle price.
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Factors Determining the Price Of Used Mid-Compact Size Vehicles Team 4
INTRODUCTION • Used least squares regression analysis to determine the factors that affect mid-compact size vehicle price. • By determining these factors manufacturers, dealerships, rental agencies, and consumers can incorporate these economic indicators into their decision making processes and operations What? Why?
How? • Identified and defined dependent variable (Price of Mid-Compact Size Cars) • Collected sufficient data on potential indicators/independent variables • Developed regression model by considering different model types and variable interactions • Diagnosed and refined model taking into consideration performance parameters
Independent Variables • Supply- Used cars available in a particular month • Fleet - Percentage of supply of vehicles sold to public agencies (police department, government offices) • Lease- Percentage of total supply of cars leased. • Incentives - Rebates, APR, etc. dollar value($) • PI - MonthlyNational Personal Income in Billions of dollars • Month - Month in which Price was recorded. • Year -Year in which Price was recorded.
Single Variable Regressions Y=.0557x+6046.7 R^2=.1743 Y=-4031.1x+7730.3 R^2=.3143 Y=-.7584x+7895.1 R^2=.3742 Y=4850.4.4x+6088.3 R^2=.2421
Y=-69.184x+7326 R^2=.0491 Y=-98.334x+7136.3 R^2=.0163
Correlation Matrix • By looking at the Correlation Matrix we see some fairly high correlations between independent variables and that indicates a potential problem with multicollinearity
Testing Variable Interactions Price Vs Year*Supply Y=.0071x+6517.7 R^2=.0548 Price Vs Incentive*Fleet Y=-1.8835x+7533.3 R^2=.3377
Final Equation PRICE = -0.06417398414*SUPPLY - 57.89403046*MONTH - 498.984817*YEAR + 5495.168601*LEASE - 0.9477265548*INCENTIVE - 4523.030592*FLEET + 0.02838232606*(YEAR*SUPPLY) + 2.314465082*(INCENTIVE*FLEET) + 9055.90772 dPrice/dSupply= -.064+.028(Year) dPrice/dIncentive= -.9477+2.31(Fleet) dPrice/dMonth= -57.89 dPrice/dFleet= -4523.03+2.31(Incentive) dPrice/dYear= -498.98 + .028(Supply) dPrice/dLease= 5495.17
Conclusions • The month and lease % variables have the most significant impact on price. • The effect of incentives on price cannot be considered without looking at fleet % • The effect of supply on price also cannot be considered without looking at year • An informed buyer or seller of mid-compact sized vehicles should consider these implications before acting