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Wind Energy Feasibility

Wind Energy Feasibility. Taylor R. Edwards. Scenario. Client seeking risk analysis and turbine recommendation Coastal residential property Humboldt County, CA PG&E. http:// edcallaert.photoshelter.com /image/I0000XV7mSClolgw. Procedure. Engineering Economics. Wind Turbines Tested.

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Wind Energy Feasibility

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  1. Wind Energy Feasibility Taylor R. Edwards

  2. Scenario • Client seeking risk analysis and turbine recommendation • Coastal residential property • Humboldt County, CA • PG&E http://edcallaert.photoshelter.com/image/I0000XV7mSClolgw

  3. Procedure • Engineering Economics

  4. Wind Turbines Tested

  5. Wind Speed Data • Data • 54 years of data • Recorded at 10 meters • Average speed 7.5m/s • Foreign data

  6. Kernel Density Estimation

  7. Kernel Density Estimation

  8. Probability of Present Value • Turbines are compared using respective present values that are estimated to have 95% probability of being met or exceeded • The 5th percentile present value • Probability of negative present value

  9. Probability Calculations • Random sampling • 5th percentile present value • Probability of negative present value, loss on investment

  10. Results

  11. General Electric 1.5S • 1,500 kW turbine is most suitable http://www.ge-energy.com/products_and_services/products/wind_turbines/ge_1.5_77_wind_turbine.jsp

  12. Energy to Money http://sfbayview.com/2011/pge-disregards-precautionary-principle-with-smart-meters/ http://reich-chemistry.wikispaces.com/Mann.+McLaughlin

  13. Peter Alstone, SERC

  14. Wind Speed to Energy Produced

  15. Results

  16. Results

  17. Results

  18. Probability Density Function • Type I Extremal

  19. Results

  20. Results

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