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May 2012

LoCal Presentation on AutoGrid CEC Project… a nd some other stuff…. May 2012 . AutoGrid Background. Autogrid Solution: D emand R esponse O ptimization and M anagement S ystem (DROMS). Project Summary. CEC Emerging Technology Demonstration Project $1.2M grant + $600k cost share

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May 2012

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  1. LoCal Presentation on AutoGrid CEC Project… and some other stuff… May 2012

  2. AutoGrid Background

  3. Autogrid Solution: Demand Response Optimization and Management System (DROMS)

  4. Project Summary • CEC Emerging Technology Demonstration Project • $1.2M grant + $600k cost share • LoCal ~$200k, focused on sMAP integration • Awarded April, expect Contract by June • Project will demonstrate Autogrid DROMS platform to implement 365x24x7 Fast Demand Response in 2 Industrial sites: • Sunnyvale SmartStation and Water Control Treatment Plant • Partners • UCB, LBNL, Demand Energy, Stanford • 2 year project starting this year running until EOY 2014

  5. Water Storage Pond

  6. The Problem (Grand Challenge Maybe?) • 851,879 MW 2011 US Peak1 • ~200 IOUs • ~3,000 Public/Municipal Utilities • 4.8 Million Buildings • 130M Residential Meters DR predominantly here today < 40 GW (<5%) Migrating Internet scale technology to the Grid takes us here New Model Targets This Potential2 • NERC 2011 Summer Reliability Assessment • FERC Report, A National Assessment of DR

  7. Supply Following Resources: Future: Virtual Power Plant 24x7x365 balancing Open Standards Big Data Cloud Emerging Models Today: Demand Response Peak Shaving Only No Cap Ex – Cloud-based Low End-point Cost – Open Standards Suited for all customers of all utilities High Initial cost to adopt High Endpoint Cost - Proprietary Systems Can be used 365/24/7, predictable Response Time in minutes/seconds Suited for only a few large customers Used for <50 hours for “Peak Shaving” Response Time in Day/Hours, Unpredictable “Virtual Power Plants” of “NegaWatts” that are 90% lower cost than existing approaches and 100% clean

  8. CAISO Feb 24, 2012 1 AM Wind Ramp, ~1GW/hr Load, not to scale freq Load minimum, DR needed to maintain freq

  9. Production Value of DR in California • 2011 analysis: • 10% peak reduction • (2011 peak = 45,545 MW) • Production cost reduction • : ~$24.28 million • or $5.33/kW • or $425,965/hr • or $xx /kWh • Emission reduction: • ~211.10 million tons

  10. DROMS: Big Data Analytics, Internet Scale DR Participants Web users Minimize Opt-outs Maximize CTRs DROMS server: Big Data Analytics, Machine Learning, Personalization, Real-Time Optimization Ad server: Big Data Analytics, Machine Learning, Personalization, Real-Time Optimization Resource Inventory, Cost, Constraints Ad network inventory, Cost, Constraints Highly Scalable technology applied to Demand Optimization

  11. Site Data for CEC Project • Sunnyvale • Smart Station • Water Pollution Control Plant (WPCP)

  12. Meter Year Data Thermal Maps

  13. All Meter CDF,LDC • 5% CDF point is of cumulative power • Translates to % of total time/year • = % of peak power

  14. M1

  15. Meter 1 Monthly LDCs

  16. 4 Meters Year Data Thermal Maps

  17. All Meter CDF,LDC • 5% CDF point is of cumulative power • Translates to % of total time/year • = % of peak power

  18. M1

  19. M2

  20. M3

  21. M4

  22. Meter 1 Monthly LDCs

  23. Meter 2 Monthly LDCs

  24. Meter 3 Monthly LDCs

  25. Meter 4 Monthly LDCs

  26. DROMS – Open, Automated, Scalable Platform Cloud Based Architecture 90% Lower IT cost Highly Scalable Open Standards 80% Lower Endpoint Cost DROMS-RT Hardware Device Neutral Higher Customer Choice Higher Customer Adoption Advanced Analytics 30%-50% more “yield”

  27. DROMS: Provides Unified view of all devices over all protocols, acrossall customer segments DROMS analyzes terabytes of data from millions of endpoints to perform real-time forecasting & optimizationfor Optimal Monetization of endpoints

  28. Technology Overview: Analytics for Utilities & Participants

  29. Trend: US Competitive Market More 68% of all C&I load is open to Competition across 18 jurisdictions

  30. Trend: Competitive Markets Showing Benefits

  31. Trend: Demand for Direct Access & DR

  32. Price Responsive Demand…the Next Step

  33. CAISO Current • Minimal demand response participation in the wholesale market • Retail and wholesale markets for DR not yet integrated In 2011, only 12 MW registered in the wholesale market, no bids dispatched 2011 capability ~5% of total peak load, >3% available in emergency only Source: 2011 Annual Report on Market Issues& Performance CAISO Department of Market Monitoring

  34. Value of Demand ResponseEstimated Revenue by Service *Capacity revenue prior RPM implementation on 6/1/07 estimated based on average daily ALM capacity credits and weighted average daily PJM capacity market clearing price. www.pjm.com

  35. Offers of Demand Resources and Energy Efficiency as Capacity in PJM by Delivery Year 822 MW of EE cleared in the 2014/2015 BRA

  36. DR Integrated into PJM Markets • Energy • Real time flow of electrons where demand=supply • $2,052,996 paid to DR in 2011 for Economic • Capacity • 3 year forward market to assure capacity adequacy • $487,104,180 paid to DR resources in 2011 • Synchronized Reserve • 10 min. reserves when largest unit trips off-line • $9,399,509 paid to DR resources in 2011 • Regulation • 5 min. reserves maintain frequency at 60 hertz • $124 paid to DR resources in 2011

  37. Price Ticker Landing Page

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