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Setting London’s long-term local transport strategy Martin Rose, TfL Strategy and Planning Local Enterprise Partnerships Network 2012 Business-Critical Infrastructure Workshop 9 th March 2012. Overview. TfL as a strategic transport authority Planning for London’s growth Mayoral strategies
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Setting London’s long-term local transport strategy Martin Rose, TfL Strategy and PlanningLocal Enterprise Partnerships Network 2012 Business-Critical Infrastructure Workshop 9th March 2012
Overview • TfL as a strategic transport authority • Planning for London’s growth • Mayoral strategies • Conclusions • Questions / discussions
Greater London World City and gateway to the UK • 7.8m residents and rising! • C. 4.7m jobs • 30 million visitors a year • 330,000 businesses • A green city • Suburban: 12 Metropolitan Town Centres, many more major and district centres • TfL: integrated body with responsibility for most PT modes, strategic roads and traffic control
Population growth Twenty year planning horizon. By 2031, London’s population is forecast to grow by 1.3 million
Economic growth By 2031, London’s population is forecast to grow by 1.3 million Employment is forecast to increase by 750,000 jobs Increased trips (from 2008 base): 30% PT 15% total 3m extra trips per day by 2031 (27m from 24m today)
Role of Mayoral strategies: Planning for sustainable growth Economic development Spatial planning Transport Other Mayoral Strategies e.g. Air Quality, Climate Change, Waste Combined evidence base
Apportioning growth • Growth will not be uniform across London • Population growth will be greatest in east London • Growth on jobs will be greatest in West End, City and Canary Wharf (business and other services, finance, tourism, retail)
Apportioning growth: London’s key places • London Plan seeks to focus growth on key places: • -Opportunity areas and areas for intensification • -Central London and town centres • -Strategic industrial locations • MTS therefore focuses on improving transport to and within these areas • Further development in supplementary documents at strategic and local levels
Role of Mayoral strategies: Democratic accountability and transparency Electorate Mayor Transport Strategy TfL Business Plan Progress reported in Travel in London Report; Schemes appraised in SAF
Translating the MTS: goals, challenges and outcomes • The MTS strategic outcome indicators (SOIs) are deliberately, based on outcomes, rather than inputs / outputs (such as particular projects or policies) or inputs (for example, amount of money spent) • Multi-modal • Translated into Strategic Outcome Indicators and TfL Business Plan Key Performance Indicators (KPI)
Further investment need: due to shortfalls between committed investments and future demand
MTS reference case: Highway congestion 2031 Highway congestion reference case: Journey times could increase by over 30% on some corridors
Solutions: Enhancements to London’s transport infrastructure • Efficiencies • Optimising existing assets (e.g. road network – smoothing traffic flow, PT integration) • Demand management (personal and freight transport) • Integrated land use planning • Further enhancements • Radial capacity: Major investments in the suburban rail network; Further upgrades to the Tube (e.g. Northern Line); new cross-London rail line; DLR enhancements • Orbital connectivity: New river crossings, Strategic interchanges • Local improvements: Bus service enhancements, Walking and cycling improvements, Town centre improvements • Physical accessibility improvements
Making the case for further investment • By demonstrating direct links between transport provision and economic growth through integrated planning, the case for sustained investment in the transport system is stronger • Role of evidence gathering: Mayor made a strong case for investment in London’s transport system for CSR 2010 • CSR 2014 will require a similarly strong case • Wide range of funding sources, e.g. capital grant, CIL, s.106, EU funding, third party sponsorship, user charges?
Discussion points • Role of LEPs in local transport plan making • Highlighting business priorities • Providing the evidence base • Conduit with businesses • Balance of priorities: • London and SE: different objectives from rest of England? • Connectivity, capacity, economy, environment or both? • Urban, interurban travel? • Modal priorities? • Work with national, regional bodies (GLA/ TfL, Integrated Transport Authorities)
Further information online TfL website: http://www.tfl.gov.uk/ MTS online: http://www.london.gov.uk/publication/mayors-transport-strategy London Plan: http://www.london.gov.uk/shaping-london/london-plan/strategy/download.jsp Travel in London Report (statistical information -v4) http://www.tfl.gov.uk/assets/downloads/corporate/travel-in-london-report-4.pdf Email: martin.rose@tfl.gov.uk Telephone: 020 7126 1426