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Drought Monitoring and Disaster Risk Reduction

Drought Monitoring and Disaster Risk Reduction. Presented by: A. Sezin Tokar, Ph.D. Senior Hydrometeorological Hazard Advisor USAID/ Office of US Foreign Disaster Assistance. NASA Global Drought Monitoring Workshop, April, 2011. Outline. Introduction to OFDA What does OFDA do?

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Drought Monitoring and Disaster Risk Reduction

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  1. Drought Monitoring and Disaster Risk Reduction Presented by: A. Sezin Tokar, Ph.D. Senior Hydrometeorological Hazard Advisor USAID/ Office of US Foreign Disaster Assistance NASA Global Drought Monitoring Workshop, April, 2011

  2. Outline • Introduction to OFDA • What does OFDA do? • OFDA disaster risk reduction framework • Examples of drought mitigation activities • Questions • Contact and more info

  3. Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance Save lives, alleviate human suffering, and reduce the economic and social impacts of humanitarian emergencies

  4. What does OFDA do? • Responds to all types of natural disasters • Provides assistance when lives are threatened by accidental or human-caused catastrophes • Coordinates U.S. Government response to international disasters • Promotes disaster risk reduction activities

  5. Data and Information for Decision Support • Timeliness • Accuracy • Specificity • Relevancy • Format • Communication

  6. Impacts of Climate Variability • Disasters • Agriculture • Water resources • Health • Power generation • Economy • Environment • Commerce • Transportation • Tourism

  7. An End-to-End Approach Lead time Users and Population at Risk Climate and Earth Observations Decisions to Actions Models and Forecasts Actions by communities/individuals Research Modeling and Prediction Observation and Monitoring

  8. Rainfall Estimate and Analyses Delayed Start of Season led to seasonal deficits Dry Spell led to seasonal deficits

  9. Operational products and support National Meteorological and Hydrological Services WMO/SWFDP AMMA Regional Climate Outlook Forums Strive to develop weather and climate forecasts expertise, and work with user community to assess impacts of climate variations

  10. Experimental Outlooks Week 1 and 2 Rainfall

  11. Climate Outlook ForumsAfrica Drought mitigation and climate variability

  12. GHA Consensus Outlook • Regional Climate Outlook Forums • Start of major rainfall season • forecasters, researchers, policy makers, and users • Training of users • Raised awareness • Link meteorologists to users • Review of last season • Measures to lessen the impacts of extreme climate events ICPAC MAM 11 Consensus outlook

  13. GHA Food Security Outlook

  14. Malaria Outlook • Zone I: Normal to below normal malaria. • Zone II: normal to above normal transmission of malaria. Zone III: increased likelihood of normal to above normal transmission • Zone IV: experience normal to above normal transmission of malaria. • Zone V: no inference on the malaria outlook

  15. Experimental Hydrological Outlook

  16. Climate Forecast Applications-Local and Community level decisions • To reduce vulnerability to extreme climate/weather events in Indonesia, Philippines and Timor-Leste • Develop climate information tools and capacity • Promote use of climate forecast and data for agriculture, water resource management and other sectors

  17. Chatty Beetle RANET RANET is a collaboration of national weather services working to improve information dissemination to rural and remote populations. The program focuses on providing assistance to develop and deploy solutions from satellite to mobile phone to FM radio.http://www.ranetcommons.net SatelliteBroadcastServices Alert Watcher PTWC Tsunami: Info Statement Issued: 1111Z 11 Nov 2006 ORG: 1101Z 11 Nov 2006 MAG: 6.0

  18. Build/Strengthen capacity Provide climate information/outlook Training in the US Regional Trainings Indian Ocean Basin, 2009 Mediterranean Basin, 2010 Atlantic Basin, 2011 Pacific Basin, 2012 Global forum, 2013 Building CapacityUSAID-State-WMO-NOAAAfrica Desk Group Picture Classroom

  19. Contact and Information • stokar@usaid.gov • http://www.usaid.gov/our_work/humanitarian_assistance/disaster_assistance/

  20. Benefits of COFs • Strengthen cooperation, communication and networking among • Various sectors, • Different levels of governing entities national, local and regional • Stakeholders/users • Countries in the region • Coordination of regional climate information and production of consensus forecast for the region • Input stakeholder needs/information and feedback to process • Capacity building of users/meteorologist on various aspects of climate forecasting and application • Raise awareness • Media • Policy makers and politicians • Users • Schools, museum and other public entities Picture (Courtesy of ICPAC)

  21. Training Activity • To build capacity in weather and climate in cooperation with NMHSs, Regional Centers and WMO to save lives and lessen the impacts of natural hazards • Trained ninety meteorologists from more than 33 African nations as of August 2009 • Residency training 12 meteorologists from Africa every year • Regional hands-on training workshops

  22. Community Based Data Collection and Broadcasting

  23. Basics Are……Basically Important RANET Internet Presence Initiative (RIPI) Weaver

  24. GEONETCast

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