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The Sun Corridor Seminar: PAF 591, Spring 2006

The Sun Corridor Seminar: PAF 591, Spring 2006. Final Class Presentation Instructors: Robert Lang, Virginia Tech John Hall, ASU. What’s in This Talk?. Review of Megapolitan Area Geography Arizona Sun Corridor Geography The Sun Corridor’s Ten Urban Realms Central Class Findings

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The Sun Corridor Seminar: PAF 591, Spring 2006

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  1. The Sun Corridor Seminar:PAF 591, Spring 2006 Final Class Presentation Instructors: Robert Lang, Virginia Tech John Hall, ASU

  2. What’s in This Talk? • Review of Megapolitan Area Geography • Arizona Sun Corridor Geography • The Sun Corridor’s Ten Urban Realms • Central Class Findings • What’s in This Talk? Next Steps in the Sun Corridor Project

  3. Arizona Republic March 2006 Megas In the News

  4. The Reality is That They Have Already Statistically Merged

  5. Business 2.0 November 2005Megapolitan Area Centerfold

  6. Original 2005 Megapolitan Geography

  7. 2006 Metropolitan Hierarchy

  8. Evolving 20th CenturyMetropolitan Form

  9. 21st Century Corridor Megapolitan Form

  10. Urban Realms

  11. ArizonaSun Corridor

  12. Arizona Sun Corridor’sTypes of Urban Realms

  13. Arizona 2000 PopulationCenter for the Future of Arizona

  14. Arizona 2000 PopulationCenter for the Future of Arizona

  15. Housing and Equity

  16. Housing/Equity Issues in the Sun Corridor Realms • Housing Market Values by Realm • Housing Appreciation Rates by Realm • Housing Burden and Overcrowding by Realm • Comparisons between Phoenix and Tucson Housing Markets – Simultaneity? • Comparison between Phoenix & Tucson Housing Markets • Changing demographics will change the form of housing.

  17. The Sun Corridor: 10-20 % Average Annualized Rate of Domestic Net Migration – Where Will These People Live? Source: “Domestic Net Migration in the United States: 2000-2004”, U.S. Census Bureau, 4/20/06 (www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p25-1135.pdf)

  18. The Sun Corridor is a Destination for People who are Relocating Source: “Domestic Net Migration in the United States: 2000-2004”, U.S. Census Bureau, 4/20/06 (www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p25-1135.pdf)

  19. “The West is The Best” - Jim Morrison, The End, 1967 Source: “Economic Outlook: 2006-2007”, Eller College of Management, University of Arizona, 12/9/05

  20. Estimated Median Market Value Source: www.zillow.com

  21. Housing Appreciation Source: www.zillow.com

  22. The Sun Corridor had 3 out of the Top 20 Metropolitan Statistical Areas and Divisions with Highest Rates of House Price Appreciation Source: “Housing Price Appreciation Continues At Robust Pace”, Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO), 3/1/06

  23. Housing Burden Source: www.dataplace.org

  24. Overcrowded Housing Source: www.dataplace.org

  25. Phoenix and Tucson both outpace comparison cities Source: “Economic Outlook: 2006-2007”, Eller College of Management, University of Arizona, 12/9/05

  26. Phoenix and Tucson both outpace comparison cities Source: “Economic Outlook: 2006-2007”, Eller College of Management, University of Arizona, 12/9/05

  27. Phoenix and Tucson Comparison Source: “Economic Outlook: 2006-2007”, Eller College of Management, University of Arizona, 12/9/05

  28. Golf Links to Social Links: The Impact of the Emerging Latino Demographic • Median age of White population in Arizona: 40 • Median Latino population: 24 – These are the home buyers of the next 30 years. • Survey data indicates different housing preferences for this market. • Inclusion of elderly family members in household. • Access to public transportation and nearby shopping a priority • ‘Country-club lifestyle’ not as attractive • Less resistance to attached housing • The emergence of Latino home buyers will change the urban form of the Sun Corridor.

  29. Education

  30. Education in the Sun Corridor • How do the Sun Corridor’s K-12 and higher education systems prepare students for the higher level, often high-tech jobs of the future?

  31. “Living on the Kindness of Strangers” • Discrepancy between those who are transplants to the Sun Corridor and those who are educated in the Sun Corridor • The percentage of those over 25 with a bachelor’s degree is above the national average • The percentage of those over 25 with a high school diploma is at the national average

  32. English Language Learners (ELL) • Spanish is the primary home language of 20% of K-12 students in the Sun Corridor (Nat. Average 10%) • Proposition 203 ended most Bilingual Education programs and replaced them with Structured English Immersion (SEI) programs

  33. Higher Education in the Sun Corridor • In the 2006 U.S. News and World report College Rankings, the Sun Corridor had only one University in the top 100 (University of Arizona-tied for 97th) • Every other megapolitan region has at least one university ranked higher than the U of A • Peninsula megapolitan is the next lowest with the University of Miami, tied for 55th

  34. Community Colleges • Sun Corridor is a national leader • The Maricopa County Community System is the largest in the nation (over 250,000 students) • Community colleges serve a preparation function for four-year colleges and engage in job training

  35. Leading Realms in Higher Education

  36. Exurban Realms

  37. Very Underserved Realms

  38. Economy

  39. Topics • Composition of the Economy • Realm Share of Development • Employment Centers

  40. Leading Industries Construction/Real Estate Consumer Services Secondary Industries Aerospace Producer Services F.I.RE Law, Marketing High-Tech/Bio Military Entrepreneurial Opportunities Baby Boomer Bio Western Product Gateway Next Generation Infrastructure Economic Composition

  41. Market Share

  42. Inventory – Office Development Source: CB Richard Ellis, 2005

  43. Inventory – Industrial Development Source: CB Richard Ellis, 2005

  44. Inventory – Retail Development Source: CB Richard Ellis, 2005

  45. Realm by RealmAssets, Opportunities & Challenges

  46. Employment Centers

  47. Northwest Valley: The Room Upstairs Assets Prescott Airport Opportunities Anthem Lake Pleasant Challenges Connectivity to Phoenix Transportation Corridors West Valley: The Sleeping Giant Assets Available Land Mass Airports Opportunities Future freeway corridors (303, 801) Building [sub]urban core from scratch Challenges Getting someone to test the water Economic Development in the Realms

  48. Central Valley: Employment Center Assets Downtown Phoenix Sky Harbor I-10 Distribution Corridor Opportunities Redevelopment Stadium/Arena Challenges Aging Infrastructure Suburban Flight Residential Composition Northeast Valley: The Crown Jewel Assets Camelback Corridor Scottsdale Airpark Deer Valley Airport Opportunities Old Towne Redevelopment Palisene Challenges Affordability Infill Opportunity Economic Development in the Realms

  49. East Valley: Young & Emerging Assets ASU Chandler/Price Corridor Mesa Airports Opportunities SanTan Corridor Original Core Redevelopment Challenges Available Land Mid Corridor: In the Crosshairs Assets Phoenix Regional Airport 1-10 and I-8 Opportunities Land, Land, Land Intermodel Hub of Region Challenges Cohesive Land & Transportation Planning Sense of place as connecting point between Phoenix and Tucson Economic Development in the Realms

  50. Foothills: Uptown Assets Wealth Resorts Opportunities Oro Valley corridor Marana Challenges Connectivity to Tucson Metro and the Mid Corridor Tucson Valley: Downtown Assets UofA Downtown Tucson Opportunities Employment Center serving all 4 Tucson realms Challenges Transportation Economic Development in the Realms

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