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Global Changes from World Fossil Fuel Energy Exhaustion. Greg McCormick. Outline. World Fossil Fuel Reserves FF Consumption Rates FF Exhaustion Carbon Dioxide Levels GHG and Earth Temperature Impacts. World Energy Reserves. Crude Oil 1.22 Trillion Barrels Coal 998 Billion Tons
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Global Changes from World Fossil Fuel Energy Exhaustion Greg McCormick
Outline • World Fossil Fuel Reserves • FF Consumption Rates • FF Exhaustion • Carbon Dioxide Levels • GHG and Earth Temperature • Impacts
World Energy Reserves • Crude Oil • 1.22 Trillion Barrels • Coal • 998 Billion Tons • Natural Gas • 6.28 Quadrillion ft3 (STP) • Total Carbon Mass: 832 Trillion kg By Fuel Mass
Global Oil Consumption • Projections • USA • Annual change: 1.2%/yr • Developing Countries (Asia) • Annual change: 3.0%/yr • World • Annual change: 1.4%/yr
Reserve Lifetimes • Crude Oil exhaustion in 2037
Reserve Lifetimes • Natural Gas will be exhausted in 2043
Reserve Lifetimes • Coal will be exhausted in 2072
Carbon Emissions • Carbon Dioxide • 100 yr Lifetime • Current Atmospheric Levels • 383 ppm • Avg. increase (1960 – Present) 1.5 ppm/yr • 200 Billion kg (Current total release) • Future Atmospheric Levels • Global Carbon release (65 yrs away) • 770 ppm Max • 101% increase (2x)
GHG and Temperature • Temperature Increases and CO2 levels are correlated
Temperatures • Future Global Avg. Temperature 67 °F • Current Avg. Temperature 59 °F • Change: +8 °F
Impacts • Significant reduction of ice sheets • Likely complete melting • Vegetation • Increased vegetation in temperate mid-high latitudes • Seas • Slowing of ocean conveyer • Rising Water levels and temperatures • Weather • Increased storm intensity • Arable land • Increased dessert area • Reduced rain / increased flooding
Impacts • Animal Population dynamics • Insect boom from warmer winters • Decreasing fish populations • Increasing jellyfish populations
Effort Needed • CO2 emissions must be curbed drastically and soon • Climate change will occur unless changes are made • Alternative fuels and energies deserve higher priority in government and industry funding