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Monetarism. Economics Klein Oak High School. Basic Assumption. “quantity theory of money” based on equation of exchange MV = PQ M = money stock V = monetary velocity P = price level Q = quantity of goods (real GDP). Other Assumptions. Velocity (V) is constant
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Monetarism Economics Klein Oak High School
Basic Assumption • “quantity theory of money” • based on equation of exchange • MV = PQ • M = money stock • V = monetary velocity • P = price level • Q = quantity of goods (real GDP)
Other Assumptions • Velocity (V) is constant • or changes in predictable ways • Money is neutral • Changing M doesn’t change Q.
Conclusion • Changing M changes P
Policy Goal • price stability • because instability causes uncertainty • recession and • inflation
Policy Recommendation • M should increase at constant rate • enough to allow growth in economy • need enough new dollars to buy increased supply of goods • Generally, M should grow at about 3-4% per year.
Criticisms • V isn’t constant • M can change Q • Keeping M constant causes fluctuations in interest rates • because the supply of money is half of what determines interest rates • It’s hard to measure M
Conclusions • Dramatic changes in M can cause instability • post WWI Germany • Control of M does tend to stabilize prices • in the long run
“Gold Bugs” • a.k.a. hard money advocates • believe the money supply should be tied to the supply of gold • FED Chairman Alan Greenspan • price of gold is a reliable measure of M times V • If the price of gold is rising, we should slow monetary growth.